From the Department of Biostatistics.
Department of Internal Medicine, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa.
Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2024 Jul 1;43(7):614-619. doi: 10.1097/INF.0000000000004302. Epub 2024 Mar 25.
Pertussis is a highly contagious respiratory illness that can be especially dangerous to young children. Transmission of pertussis often occurs in household settings and is impacted by the timing of treatment and postexposure chemoprophylaxis. This study analyzes the risk for secondary household transmission and if delays in diagnosing pertussis increased the risk for household transmission.
We conducted 2 population-based studies using a large nationally representative administrative claims database. The first study utilized a stratified monthly incidence model to compare the incidence of pertussis among enrollees exposed to a family member with pertussis versus those not exposed. The second study was conducted at a household level following the index case of pertussis in each household. We identified diagnostic delays in the initial household case and used a logistic regression model to evaluate if such delays were associated with a greater risk for transmission.
The incidence rate ratio of pertussis was 938.99 [95% confidence interval (CI): 880.19-1001.73] among enrollees exposed to a family member with pertussis relative to those not exposed. The odds of secondary household transmission in households where the index case experienced a diagnostic delay was 5.10 (CI: 4.44-5.85) times the odds of transmission when the index case was not delayed. We found that longer delays were associated with a greater risk for secondary household transmission ( P < 0.0001).
There is a high rate of secondary transmission of pertussis in household settings. Diagnostic delays increase the likelihood that pertussis will transmit in the household.
百日咳是一种高度传染性的呼吸道疾病,对幼儿尤其危险。百日咳的传播通常发生在家庭环境中,并受治疗时机和暴露后化学预防的影响。本研究分析了继发性家庭传播的风险,以及诊断延迟是否会增加家庭传播的风险。
我们使用大型全国代表性行政索赔数据库进行了两项基于人群的研究。第一项研究使用分层每月发病率模型,比较了暴露于百日咳家庭成员的参与者与未暴露于百日咳家庭成员的发病率。第二项研究在每个家庭的百日咳首例病例后在家庭层面进行。我们确定了初始家庭病例中的诊断延迟,并使用逻辑回归模型评估这些延迟是否与更高的传播风险相关。
与未暴露于百日咳家庭成员的参与者相比,暴露于百日咳家庭成员的参与者中百日咳的发病率比为 938.99(95%置信区间[CI]:880.19-1001.73)。在首例病例出现诊断延迟的家庭中,继发性家庭传播的几率是首例病例未延迟的家庭的 5.10 倍(CI:4.44-5.85)。我们发现,延迟时间越长,继发性家庭传播的风险就越大(P<0.0001)。
家庭环境中百日咳的继发性传播率很高。诊断延迟增加了家庭中传播百日咳的可能性。