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利用改进的机器学习模型提高 COVID-19 患者深静脉血栓形成的预测能力。

Enhancing deep vein thrombosis prediction in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 using improved machine learning model.

机构信息

The First Clinical College, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, China.

Cardiac Care Unit, Sir RUN RUN Shaw Hospital, Hangzhou, 310000, China.

出版信息

Comput Biol Med. 2024 May;173:108294. doi: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.108294. Epub 2024 Mar 13.

DOI:10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.108294
PMID:38537565
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a significant complication in coronavirus disease 2019 patients, arising from coagulation issues in the deep venous system. Among 424 scheduled patients, 202 developed DVT (47.64%). DVT increases hospitalization risk, and complications, and impacts prognosis. Accurate prognostication and timely intervention are crucial to prevent DVT progression and improve patient outcomes.

METHODS

This study introduces an effective DVT prediction model, named bSES-AC-RUN-FKNN, which integrates fuzzy k-nearest neighbor (FKNN) with enhanced Runge-Kutta optimizer (RUN). Recognizing the insufficient effectiveness of RUN in local search capability and its convergence accuracy, spherical evolutionary search (SES) and differential evolution-inspired knowledge adaptive crossover (AC) are incorporated, termed SES-AC-RUN, to enhance its optimization capability.

RESULTS

Based on the benchmark set by CEC 2017 and comparative analyses with several peers, it is evident that SES-AC-RUN significantly enhances search performance compared to traditional RUN, even standing comparably against leading championship algorithms. The proposed bSES-AC-RUN-FKNN model was applied to predict a dataset comprising 424 cases of DVT patients, totaling 7208 records. Remarkably, the model demonstrates outstanding accuracy, reaching 91.02%, alongside commendable sensitivity at 91.07%.

CONCLUSIONS

The bSES-AC-RUN-FKNN emerges as a robust and efficient predictive tool, significantly enhancing the accuracy of DVT prediction. This model can be used to manage the risk of thrombosis in the care of COVID-19 patients. Nursing staff can combine the model's predictions with clinical judgment to formulate comprehensive treatment approaches.

摘要

背景

深静脉血栓形成(DVT)是 2019 年冠状病毒病患者的一个重要并发症,源于深静脉系统的凝血问题。在 424 名计划患者中,有 202 名发生 DVT(47.64%)。DVT 增加了住院风险、并发症,并影响预后。准确预测和及时干预对于防止 DVT 进展和改善患者结局至关重要。

方法

本研究介绍了一种有效的 DVT 预测模型,命名为 bSES-AC-RUN-FKNN,它将模糊 k-最近邻(FKNN)与增强的 Runge-Kutta 优化器(RUN)集成在一起。鉴于 RUN 在局部搜索能力和收敛精度方面的不足,我们引入了球形进化搜索(SES)和基于差分进化的知识自适应交叉(AC),称为 SES-AC-RUN,以增强其优化能力。

结果

基于 CEC 2017 的基准测试集和与几个同行的比较分析,SES-AC-RUN 显著提高了搜索性能,与传统 RUN 相比有明显的优势,甚至与领先的冠军算法相当。所提出的 bSES-AC-RUN-FKNN 模型应用于预测一组 424 例 DVT 患者的数据集,总共有 7208 条记录。值得注意的是,该模型表现出出色的准确性,达到 91.02%,同时敏感性为 91.07%。

结论

bSES-AC-RUN-FKNN 是一种强大而有效的预测工具,可显著提高 DVT 预测的准确性。该模型可用于管理 COVID-19 患者护理中的血栓形成风险。护理人员可以将模型的预测与临床判断相结合,制定全面的治疗方案。

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