Graduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, 10-1 Akashi-Cho, Chuo-City, Tokyo, 104-0044, Japan.
St. Luke's International Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
BMC Health Serv Res. 2024 Mar 28;24(1):389. doi: 10.1186/s12913-024-10883-7.
Resistant bacterial infections, particularly those caused by gram-negative pathogens, are associated with high mortality and economic burdens. Ceftolozane/tazobactam demonstrated efficacy comparable to meropenem in patients with ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia in the ASPECT-NP study. One cost-effectiveness analysis in the United States revealed that ceftolozane/tazobactam was cost effective, but no Japanese studies have been conducted. Therefore, the objective of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of ceftolozane/tazobactam compared to meropenem for patients with ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia from a health care payer perspective.
A hybrid decision-tree Markov decision-analytic model with a 5-year time horizon were developed to estimate costs and quality-adjusted life-years and to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio associated with ceftolozane/tazobactam and meropenem in the treatment of patients with ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia. Clinical outcomes were based on the ASPECT-NP study, costs were based on the national fee schedule of 2022, and utilities were based on published data. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were also conducted to assess the robustness of our modeled estimates.
According to our base-case analysis, compared with meropenem, ceftolozane/tazobactam increased the total costs by 424,731.22 yen (£2,626.96) and increased the quality-adjusted life-years by 0.17, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 2,548,738 yen (£15,763.94) per quality-adjusted life-year gained for ceftolozane/tazobactam compared with meropenem. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that although the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio remained below 5,000,000 yen (£30,925) for most of the parameters, the incremental net monetary benefit may have been less than 0 depending on the treatment efficacy outcome, especially the cure rate and mortality rate for MEPM and mortality rate for CTZ/TAZ. 53.4% of the PSA simulations demonstrated that CTZ/TAZ was more cost-effective than MEPM was.
Although incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was below ¥5,000,000 in base-case analysis, whether ceftolozane/tazobactam is a cost-effective alternative to meropenem for ventilated hospital-acquired bacterial pneumonia/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia in Japan remains uncertain. Future research should examine the unobserved heterogeneity across patient subgroups and decision-making settings, to characterise decision uncertainty and its consequences so as to assess whether additional research is required.
耐药细菌感染,尤其是革兰氏阴性病原体引起的感染,与高死亡率和经济负担相关。头孢他洛滨/他唑巴坦在 ASPECT-NP 研究中显示出与美罗培南相当的疗效,可用于治疗有创机械通气相关性细菌性肺炎/医院获得性细菌性肺炎患者。一项美国的成本效益分析表明,头孢他洛滨/他唑巴坦具有成本效益,但日本尚未开展相关研究。因此,本研究旨在从医疗保健支付者的角度评估头孢他洛滨/他唑巴坦与美罗培南治疗有创机械通气相关性细菌性肺炎/医院获得性细菌性肺炎患者的成本效益。
采用具有 5 年时间范围的混合决策树马尔可夫决策分析模型,估算成本和质量调整生命年,并计算头孢他洛滨/他唑巴坦与美罗培南治疗有创机械通气相关性细菌性肺炎/医院获得性细菌性肺炎患者的增量成本效益比。临床结局基于 ASPECT-NP 研究,成本基于 2022 年国家收费标准,效用基于已发表数据。还进行了单因素敏感性分析和概率敏感性分析,以评估模型估计的稳健性。
根据我们的基础情况分析,与美罗培南相比,头孢他洛滨/他唑巴坦增加了 424,731.22 日元(2,626.96 英镑)的总费用,并增加了 0.17 个质量调整生命年,导致头孢他洛滨/他唑巴坦的增量成本效益比为 2,548,738 日元(15,763.94 英镑)每获得一个质量调整生命年。单因素敏感性分析表明,虽然对于大多数参数,增量成本效益比仍低于 5,000,000 日元(30,925 英镑),但取决于治疗效果的结果,特别是 MEPM 的治愈率和死亡率以及 TAZ/CTZ 的死亡率,增量净货币收益可能小于 0。PSA 模拟的 53.4%表明,CTZ/TAZ 比 MEPM 更具成本效益。
虽然基础情况分析中的增量成本效益比低于 5,000,000 日元,但头孢他洛滨/他唑巴坦是否是日本有创机械通气相关性细菌性肺炎/医院获得性细菌性肺炎的一种具有成本效益的美罗培南替代方案仍不确定。未来的研究应检查患者亚组和决策环境中的未观察到的异质性,以描述决策不确定性及其后果,从而评估是否需要进一步研究。