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谣言传播与媒体影响之间相互作用的多层网络模型

A multilayer network model of interaction between rumor propagation and media influence.

作者信息

Zhai Shidong, Li Haolin, Zhu Shuaibing, Ma Jun

机构信息

School of Automation, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, China.

The MOE-LCSM, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China.

出版信息

Chaos. 2024 Apr 1;34(4). doi: 10.1063/5.0195918.

Abstract

Rumors spread among the crowd have an impact on media influence, while media influence also has an impact on rumor dissemination. This article constructs a two-layer rumor media interaction network model, in which the rumors spread in the crowd are described using the susceptibility-apathy-propagation-recovery model, and the media influence is described using the corresponding flow model. The rationality of the model is studied, and then a detailed analysis of the model is conducted. In the simulation section, we undertake a sensitivity analysis of the crucial parameters within our model, focusing particularly on their impact on the basic reproduction number. According to data simulation analysis, the following conclusion can be drawn: First, when the media unilaterally influences the crowd and does not accept feedback from the crowd, the influence of the media will decrease to zero over time, which has a negative effect on the spread of rumors among the crowd (the degree of rumor dissemination decreases). Second, when the media does not affect the audience and accepts feedback from the audience, this state is similar to the media collecting information stage, which is to accept rumors from the audience but temporarily not disclose their thoughts. At this time, both the media influence and the spread of rumors in the audience will decrease. Finally, the model is validated using an actual dataset of rumors. The simulation results show an R-squared value of 0.9606, indicating that the proposed model can accurately simulate rumor propagation in real social networks.

摘要

人群中传播的谣言会对媒体影响力产生影响,而媒体影响力也会对谣言传播产生影响。本文构建了一个两层谣言-媒体交互网络模型,其中人群中谣言的传播用易感性-冷漠-传播-恢复模型来描述,媒体影响力用相应的流模型来描述。研究了该模型的合理性,然后对模型进行了详细分析。在仿真部分,我们对模型中的关键参数进行了敏感性分析,特别关注它们对基本再生数的影响。根据数据仿真分析,可得出以下结论:第一,当媒体单方面影响人群且不接受人群反馈时,媒体的影响力会随时间降至零,这对人群中谣言的传播有负面影响(谣言传播程度降低)。第二,当媒体不影响受众且接受受众反馈时,这种状态类似于媒体收集信息阶段,即接受受众的谣言但暂不披露其想法。此时,媒体影响力和受众中谣言的传播都会下降。最后,使用谣言的实际数据集对模型进行了验证。仿真结果显示决定系数R²值为0.9606,表明所提出的模型能够准确模拟真实社交网络中的谣言传播。

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