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Current and Future Cost Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Australia: Dynamic Model.

作者信息

Abebe Tamrat Befekadu, Ilomaki Jenni, Livori Adam, Bell J Simon, Morton Jedidiah I, Ademi Zanfina

机构信息

Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia,

Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

出版信息

Neuroepidemiology. 2024;58(5):358-368. doi: 10.1159/000538564. Epub 2024 Apr 1.


DOI:10.1159/000538564
PMID:38560982
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11449186/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Stroke remains one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in Australia. The objective of this study was to estimate the current and future cost burden of ischemic stroke (IS) in Australia. METHOD: First, the annual chronic management cost per person following IS were derived for all people aged ≥30 years discharged from a public or private hospital in Victoria, Australia between July 2012 and June 2017 (with follow-up data until June 2018 [n = 34,471]). Then extrapolated the data from from Victoria to the whole Australian population aged between 30 years and 99 years to project the total healthcare costs following IS (combination of acute event and chronic management cost) over a 20-year period (2019-2038) using a dynamic multistate life table model. Data for the dynamic model were sourced from the Victorian Admitted Episodes Dataset (VAED) and supplemented with other published data. RESULT: The estimated annual total chronic management cost following IS was 13,525 Australian dollars (AUD) per person (95% CI: AUD 13,380, AUD 13,670) for cohorts in the VAED between July 2012 and June 2017. The annual chronic management cost was estimated to decline following IS. The highest cost was incurred in the first year of follow-up post-IS (AUD 14,309 per person) and declined to AUD 9,776 in the sixth year of follow-up post-IS. The total healthcare cost for people aged 30-99 years was projected to be AUD 47.7 billion (95% UI: AUD 44.6 billion, AUD 51.0 billion) over the 20-year period (2019-2038) Australia-wide, of which 91.3% (AUD 43.6 billion) was attributed to chronic management costs and the remaining 8.7% (AUD 4.2 billion) were due to acute IS events. CONCLUSION: IS has and will continue to have a considerable financial impact in the next 2 decades on the Australian healthcare system. Our estimated and projected cost burden following IS provides important information for decision making in relation to IS.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3477/11449186/bff3d4e816da/ned-2024-0058-0005-538564_F02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3477/11449186/652460b317e0/ned-2024-0058-0005-538564_F01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3477/11449186/bff3d4e816da/ned-2024-0058-0005-538564_F02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3477/11449186/652460b317e0/ned-2024-0058-0005-538564_F01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3477/11449186/bff3d4e816da/ned-2024-0058-0005-538564_F02.jpg

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Current and Future Cost Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Australia: Dynamic Model.

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引用本文的文献

[1]
Association between hydrocarbon exposure and risk of stroke: a systematic literature review.

BMC Neurol. 2025-2-21

[2]
Costs of Neurological Disorders.

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Future Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Australia: Impact on Health Outcomes between 2019 and 2038.

Neuroepidemiology. 2024

[2]
Future burden of myocardial infarction in Australia: impact on health outcomes between 2019 and 2038.

Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. 2024-8-8

[3]
Lipid-Lowering Strategies for Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease in the UK: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

Pharmacoeconomics. 2024-1

[4]
Persistence and Adherence to Cardiovascular Medicines in Australia.

J Am Heart Assoc. 2023-7-4

[5]
One-year readmission and mortality following ischaemic stroke by diabetes status, sex, and socioeconomic disadvantage: An analysis of 27,802 strokes from 2012 to 2017.

J Neurol Sci. 2022-3-15

[6]
Projected New-Onset Cardiovascular Disease by Socioeconomic Group in Australia.

Pharmacoeconomics. 2022-4

[7]
World Stroke Organization (WSO): Global Stroke Fact Sheet 2022.

Int J Stroke. 2022-1

[8]
Primary stroke prevention worldwide: translating evidence into action.

Lancet Public Health. 2022-1

[9]
Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Lancet Neurol. 2021-10

[10]
Greater Adherence to Secondary Prevention Medications Improves Survival After Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack: A Linked Registry Study.

Stroke. 2021-11

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