Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA.
West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, USA.
Politics Life Sci. 2024;43(1):24-33. doi: 10.1017/pls.2023.27. Epub 2024 Jan 15.
Scholars, policymakers, and citizens alike remain invested in the impact of infectious diseases worldwide. Studies have found that emerging diseases and disease outbreaks burden global economies and public health goals. This article explores the potential link between measles outbreaks and various forms of civil unrest, such as demonstrations, riots, strikes, and other anti-government violence, in four central African countries from 1996 to 2005. Using a difference-in-differences model, we examine whether disease outbreaks have a discernible impact on the prevalence of civil unrest. While our findings indicate that the relationship between disease and civil unrest is not as strong as previously suggested, we identify a notable trend that warrants further investigation. These results have significant implications for health and policy officials in understanding the complex interplay between state fragility, civil unrest, and the spread of disease.
学者、政策制定者和普通民众都在关注全球传染病的影响。研究发现，新发传染病和疾病暴发给全球经济和公共卫生目标带来了负担。本文探讨了 1996 年至 2005 年期间，四个中部非洲国家麻疹暴发与各种形式的民众骚乱（如示威、暴乱、罢工和其他反政府暴力）之间可能存在的联系。我们使用双重差分模型来检验疾病暴发是否对民众骚乱的流行有明显影响。虽然我们的研究结果表明，疾病与民众骚乱之间的关系并不像之前认为的那么强，但我们发现了一个值得进一步研究的显著趋势。这些结果对于理解国家脆弱性、民众骚乱和疾病传播之间复杂的相互作用，对卫生和政策官员具有重要意义。
