Yu Zhuoxi, Liu Shan, Li Siqi
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Liaoning University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110036, China.
School of Economics, Liaoning University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110036, China.
J Environ Manage. 2024 Apr;357:120764. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120764. Epub 2024 Apr 4.
Cities are one of the main sources of regional carbon emissions, and reducing urban carbon emission is the key to reducing emissions. The digital economy has transformed the economic operation mode, and it is a significant approach to support the "dual carbon goals" (carbon peaking and carbon neutrality). This article considers the externalities of the digital economy and carbon emissions. And we use spatial econometric models to analyze the effectiveness of digital economy in empowering carbon emissions reduction. Besides, we explore the static and dynamic spillover effects, and use spatial Durbin panel quantile model to analyze the digital economy's heterogeneity on carbon emissions. Research has shown that the digital economy has a remarkable carbon reduction effect, and the conclusion remains valid after considering robustness tests such as replacing the weight matrices, calculation methods, and proxy variables. The analysis of static and dynamic spillover effects indicates that the degree of the digital economy's impact on carbon emissions are significantly different. Heterogeneity analysis shows that as the digital economy develops from a low level to a high level, its impact on carbon emissions also shifts from positive promotion to negative suppression. This paper proposes a policy reference to help the development of digital economy and promote carbon neutrality in the face of severe environmental challenges.
城市是区域碳排放的主要来源之一,减少城市碳排放是减排的关键。数字经济改变了经济运行模式,是支持“双碳目标”(碳达峰和碳中和)的重要途径。本文考虑数字经济与碳排放的外部性。我们使用空间计量模型来分析数字经济在助力碳排放减少方面的有效性。此外,我们探讨静态和动态溢出效应,并使用空间杜宾面板分位数模型来分析数字经济在碳排放方面的异质性。研究表明,数字经济具有显著的碳减排效应,在考虑诸如替换权重矩阵、计算方法和代理变量等稳健性检验后,该结论仍然成立。静态和动态溢出效应分析表明,数字经济对碳排放的影响程度存在显著差异。异质性分析表明,随着数字经济从低水平发展到高水平,其对碳排放的影响也从正向促进转变为负向抑制。本文提出了一项政策参考,以助力数字经济发展,并在严峻的环境挑战面前促进碳中和。