Hangli Zhao, Xinnan Ai
School of Management, Northwest University of Political Science and Law, Xi'an, 710063, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 Apr 4;14(1):7977. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-58625-3.
The coordinated development of land urbanization and population urbanization is crucial for the advancement of new urbanization. The study applied the entropy weight method and coupling coordination degree model, taking Shaanxi-a province in China characterized by a moderate pace of economic development and volume, along with distinct geographic and demographic features within its region-as the subject. It assessed the coordination conditions of these two types of urbanization from both macro and micro scales during the years 2010-2022. Utilizing the Analytic Network Process (ANP), the study ranked and analyzed the causes of issues stemming from uneven development, thus connecting a crucial link from theoretical analysis to decision-making implementation. The results showed that: (1) The province's land urbanization index was between 0.075 and 0.203, whereas the population urbanization index ranged from 0.221 to 0.408, with the development of the former significantly lagging behind the latter. (2) The coupling degree between land and population urbanization ranged from 0.835 to 0.854, with a coordination degree between 0.148 and 0.306. This indicated that a close connection had been formed between the two, yet a benign coupling relationship had not been established, displaying a spatial distribution characterized by "high in the middle, low in the north and south". (3) The limitation on further urban expansion was identified as the primary issue to be addressed (with a weight of 0.324), followed by insufficient infrastructure (with a weight of 0.261). The extent of ecological environmental damage was comparatively lower (with a weight of 0.225), and the degree of social injustice was the lowest (with a weight of 0.191). Therefore, to alleviate the problems associated with the imbalanced development between land urbanization and population urbanization, measures such as optimizing land spatial layout, enhancing urban ecological service functions, and strengthening the central cities' radiating effect should be implemented.
土地城镇化与人口城镇化的协调发展对新型城镇化的推进至关重要。本研究以中国陕西省为研究对象,该省经济发展速度和规模适中,区域内地理和人口特征鲜明,运用熵权法和耦合协调度模型,评估了2010 - 2022年期间这两种城镇化在宏观和微观尺度上的协调状况。利用网络层次分析法(ANP),对发展不平衡产生的问题原因进行了排序和分析,从而打通了从理论分析到决策实施的关键环节。结果表明:(1)该省土地城镇化指数在0.075至0.203之间,而人口城镇化指数在0.221至0.408之间,前者发展明显滞后于后者。(2)土地与人口城镇化的耦合度在0.835至0.854之间,协调度在0.148至0.306之间。这表明两者之间已形成紧密联系,但尚未建立良性耦合关系,呈现出“中间高、南北低”的空间分布特征。(3)进一步城市扩张的限制被确定为首要解决的问题(权重为0.324),其次是基础设施不足(权重为0.261)。生态环境破坏程度相对较低(权重为0.225),社会不公平程度最低(权重为0.191)。因此,为缓解土地城镇化与人口城镇化发展不平衡带来的问题,应采取优化土地空间布局、增强城市生态服务功能、强化中心城市辐射效应等措施。