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世卫组织的结核病目标终结:如果不解决营养不足、被迫流离失所和无家可归问题,到 2035 年将无法实现:2015 年至 2022 年的趋势分析。

WHO's end of TB targets: unachievable by 2035 without addressing under nutrition, forced displacement, and homelessness: trend analysis from 2015 to 2022.

机构信息

Department of Adult Health Nursing, College of Health Science, Assosa University, Assosa, Ethiopia.

Department of Midwifery, College of Health Sciences, Assosa University, Assosa, Ethiopia.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2024 Apr 4;24(1):961. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-18400-5.

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a significant global health challenge, despite the World Health Organization (WHO) actively working towards its eradication through various initiatives and programs. Undernutrition, forced displacement, and homelessness worsen TB's burden and challenge control efforts; however, there is still no adequate research that shows the trend of these underlying factors to attain the WHO's ambitious TB targets. So, this study aims to analyze the trend analysis of these underlying factors worldwide from 2015 to 2022 and their impact on the feasibility and implications of reaching the End TB targets by 2035. We utilized international databases, including UNHCR, FAO, and WHO reports, as secondary data sources. Data were extracted chronologically from 2015 to 2022 to illustrate trends in undernutrition, forced displacement, and homelessness on a global level.This trend analysis reveals that undernutrition, forced displacement, and homelessness have worsened over time. Undernutrition rose from 8.4 to 9.8% globally between 2015 and 2021, affecting 22.7 million additional individuals each year. In 2022, undernutrition affected 735 million people globally. Africa (21.9%) and Asia (10.6%) had the highest rates, while Western Europe and North America had lower rates than the global average: 3.4% and 2.5%, respectively.Similarly, the global rate of forced displacement increased from 65.1 million people in 2015 to 108.4 million in 2022, a 21% increase from 2021. This means that an extra 19 million people were displaced in 2021. Globally, homelessness, affecting 1.6 billion people, has worsened over time. Despite being a highly vulnerable group to TB, homeless individuals are often neglected in TB control efforts. Our findings underscore the critical importance of addressing undernutrition, forced displacement, and homelessness in achieving the World Health Organization's ambitious End TB targets by 2035, as highlighted through trend analysis from 2015 to 2022. Implementing policies focusing on nutrition, stable housing, and the challenges faced by displaced populations is imperative for progress toward a TB-free world.

摘要

结核病(TB)仍然是一个重大的全球健康挑战,尽管世界卫生组织(WHO)通过各种倡议和项目积极努力消除结核病。营养不良、被迫流离失所和无家可归使结核病的负担更加严重,并对控制工作构成挑战;然而,仍然没有足够的研究表明这些潜在因素的趋势,以实现世卫组织雄心勃勃的结核病目标。因此,本研究旨在分析 2015 年至 2022 年期间全球这些潜在因素的趋势分析及其对实现 2035 年终结结核病目标的可行性和影响。我们利用了包括难民署、粮农组织和世卫组织报告在内的国际数据库作为二手数据源。数据按时间顺序从 2015 年至 2022 年提取,以说明全球营养不良、被迫流离失所和无家可归的趋势。这项趋势分析表明,随着时间的推移,营养不良、被迫流离失所和无家可归的情况已经恶化。2015 年至 2021 年期间,全球营养不良率从 8.4%上升到 9.8%,每年新增受影响人数达 2270 万人。2022 年,全球有 7.35 亿人营养不良。非洲(21.9%)和亚洲(10.6%)的比率最高,而西欧和北美则低于全球平均水平:分别为 3.4%和 2.5%。同样,全球被迫流离失所人数从 2015 年的 6510 万人增加到 2022 年的 1.084 亿人,比 2021 年增加了 21%。这意味着 2021 年又有 1900 万人流离失所。全球范围内,影响 16 亿人的无家可归现象也随着时间的推移而恶化。尽管无家可归者是结核病的高度易感群体,但他们往往在结核病控制工作中被忽视。我们的研究结果强调了在 2035 年实现世卫组织终结结核病目标方面,解决营养不良、被迫流离失所和无家可归问题的重要性,这一点从 2015 年至 2022 年的趋势分析中可以明显看出。实施侧重于营养、稳定住房和解决流离失所人口面临的挑战的政策对于实现一个没有结核病的世界至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e63a/10996214/101c4540ceb3/12889_2024_18400_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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