Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Ted Rogers Center for Heart Research, Peter Munk Cardiac Center, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2024 Jun;170:111360. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2024.111360. Epub 2024 Apr 9.
Prognostic models provide an avenue to predict the risk of individual patients and support shared-decision making. Many prognostic models are published annually, and systematic reviews provide an avenue to collate the existing evidence behind prognostic models to determine whether a model demonstrates adequate predictive performance and is ready for real-world use. This article provides a brief step-by-step guide on how to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic model studies and how these reviews differ from systematic reviews of therapy and diagnosis.
预后模型为预测个体患者风险和支持共同决策提供了途径。每年都会有许多预后模型发表,而系统评价则提供了一个整理预后模型背后现有证据的途径,以确定模型是否具有足够的预测性能,是否可以在实际中使用。本文简要介绍了如何进行预后模型研究的系统评价和荟萃分析,以及这些综述与治疗和诊断的系统评价有何不同。