摩洛哥各省的产业集群与新冠病毒病的流行之间存在关联吗?

Is there a relationship between industrial clusters and the prevalence of COVID-19 in the provinces of Morocco?

作者信息

Boumahdi Ilyes, Zaoujal Nouzha, Fadlallah Abdellali

机构信息

National Institute of Statistic and Applied Economy Morocco.

出版信息

Reg Sci Policy Prac. 2021 Nov;13(Suppl 1):138-157. doi: 10.1111/rsp3.12407. Epub 2021 Mar 22.

Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to verify if there is a relationship between industrial agglomeration and the prevalence of COVID-19 and its diffusion within and between the provinces of Morocco. To do so, we used spatial exploratory analysis and spatial econometrics to show that the preponderance of industrial activity in a province has a significant effect on the number of active COVID-19 cases in that province. On the other hand, we have shown that the spatial diffusion of this effect is not significant, which indicates the appropriateness of the lockdown implemented. We have also shown that age, socio-economic deficits and habitat conditions are not significant determinants in the onset and spread of the pandemic.

摘要

本文的主要目的是验证摩洛哥各省内部及之间的产业集聚与新冠疫情的流行及其传播之间是否存在关联。为此,我们运用空间探索性分析和空间计量经济学表明,一个省份工业活动的优势对该省新冠确诊病例数有显著影响。另一方面,我们已表明这种影响的空间扩散并不显著,这表明实施的封锁措施是恰当的。我们还表明,年龄、社会经济赤字和居住条件并非疫情爆发和传播的重要决定因素。

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