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空气质量下降对太平洋西部国家森林公园夏季游客高峰的影响极小。

Decreased air quality shows minimal influence on peak summer attendance at forested Pacific West national parks.

机构信息

Environmental Systems, University of California, Merced, 5200 N. Lake Road, Merced, CA, 95340, USA.

Management of Complex Systems, University of California, Merced, 5200 N. Lake Road, Merced, CA, 95340, USA.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 May;358:120702. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120702. Epub 2024 Apr 16.

Abstract

Wildfires are increasing in duration and intensity across the United States' Pacific West region, resulting in heightened particulate matter from smoke in the atmosphere. Levels of peak particulate matter are concurrent to peak visitor attendance at National Parks, given seasonal alignment with summer vacation travel and heightened forest fire conditions. Particulate matter threatens visitor health and safety and contributes to poor visibility and a deteriorated visitor experience. To assess visitation response to diminished air quality, we utilized wildfire-generated particulate matter (PM2.5) data in conjunction with monthly attendance records for three ecoregions containing eight national parks in Washington, Oregon, and California from 2009 to 2019. We analyzed daily PM2.5 levels from data gridded at the 10 km scale for National Park Service units by Level III forest ecoregions within the National Park Service's Pacific West Unit. Data were then compared to normalized monthly visitation trends for each of the ecoregions using two statistical methods Kendall's Tau and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) with post-hoc Tukey tests. Results demonstrate that attendance at these national parks does not decrease in response to increased PM2.5 levels. Instead, we see several statistically significant increases in attendance across these ecoregions during periods of reduced air quality. Of 115 shifts between air quality categories during the busy season of July to September, there are no significant decreases in attendance as air quality worsens. These findings suggest that visitors are willing to tolerate reduced air quality compared to other factors such as temperature or precipitation. Given that park units within each ecoregion feature diverse historical contexts, varied built environments, and unique ecological systems, our discussion specifically addresses managerial concerns associated with maintained high levels of visitation during suboptimal, and potentially dangerous, conditions. There is substantial need for specific, scalable approaches to mitigate adverse health and experiential impacts as visitors are exposed to increased risks during a range of exertional activities associated with diverse settings.

摘要

美国太平洋西北地区的野火持续时间和强度都在增加,导致大气中的烟雾颗粒物含量增加。鉴于夏季假期旅行和森林火灾加剧的季节性与高峰游客参观时间一致,峰值颗粒物水平与国家公园的高峰游客参观人数同时出现。颗粒物威胁游客的健康和安全,并导致能见度降低和游客体验恶化。为了评估游客对空气质量下降的反应,我们利用野火产生的颗粒物(PM2.5)数据,结合 2009 年至 2019 年华盛顿、俄勒冈和加利福尼亚三个生态区的每月参观记录,这三个生态区包含了八个国家公园。我们分析了国家公园管理局太平洋西部地区三级森林生态区数据网格化的 10km 尺度的每日 PM2.5 水平。数据随后与每个生态区的标准化每月参观趋势进行比较,使用两种统计方法肯德尔氏 tau 和方差分析(ANOVA)与事后 Tukey 检验。结果表明,这些国家公园的参观人数并没有因 PM2.5 水平的升高而减少。相反,我们在这些生态区看到,在空气质量较差的时期,参观人数有几个显著增加。在 7 月至 9 月繁忙季节的 115 次空气质量类别变化中,当空气质量恶化时,参观人数并没有显著减少。这些发现表明,与其他因素(如温度或降水)相比,游客愿意忍受空气质量下降。鉴于每个生态区的公园单位具有不同的历史背景、多样化的建筑环境和独特的生态系统,我们的讨论特别涉及在不理想和潜在危险的条件下保持高参观人数的管理问题。在与各种环境相关的一系列运动活动中,游客面临更高的风险,因此需要有具体的、可扩展的方法来减轻健康和体验方面的不利影响。

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