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捕捞足迹的决定因素:基于动态空间 Durbin 模型的证据。

Determinants of fishing grounds footprint: Evidence from dynamic spatial Durbin model.

机构信息

Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.

出版信息

Mar Pollut Bull. 2024 May;202:116364. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116364. Epub 2024 Apr 20.

Abstract

Despite a growing literature on fishing grounds footprint, there is no study analyzing fishing footprint regarding spatial effects between neighboring countries. Thus, we explored whether the fishing grounds footprint of 156 countries is spatially correlated. For this purpose, we applied the dynamic spatial Durbin model to examine the direct and indirect effects of GDP per capita, biological capacity, trade openness, population, and urbanization on fishing grounds footprint in the short-term and the long-term during 2001-2021. The results revealed that: (1) there exists a positive and significant spatial dependence in fishing grounds footprint between countries; (2) inverted U-shaped environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis is valid in the short-term and the long-term; (3) fishing grounds footprint is negatively influenced by biocapacity and urbanization in neighboring countries, while population directly increases the fishing footprint. Finally, some suggestions were put forward to reduce fishing grounds footprint and to achieve a sustainable fisheries environment.

摘要

尽管关于捕捞足迹的文献不断增加,但尚无研究分析邻国之间捕捞足迹的空间效应。因此,我们探讨了 156 个国家的捕捞足迹是否存在空间相关性。为此,我们应用动态空间 Durbin 模型来检验人均 GDP、生物容量、贸易开放度、人口和城市化对 2001-2021 年短期和长期捕捞足迹的直接和间接影响。结果表明:(1)各国之间的捕捞足迹存在正的显著空间依赖性;(2)在短期和长期内,倒 U 型环境库兹涅茨曲线假说都是有效的;(3)生物容量和邻国的城市化对捕捞足迹产生负向影响,而人口则直接增加捕捞足迹。最后,提出了一些建议来减少捕捞足迹,实现可持续的渔业环境。

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