Universidad Espíritu Santo, Ecuador.
Escuela Superior Politécnica Del Litoral, ESPOL, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales y Humanísticas, Campus Gustavo Galindo, Km 30.5 Vía Perimetral, P.O. Box 09-01-5863, Guayaquil, Ecuador.
J Environ Manage. 2020 Oct 15;272:111069. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111069. Epub 2020 Jul 18.
The Ecological Footprint is defined as the ecological impact caused by human activities, such as agriculture, fishing, raising livestock, and building infrastructure. A high level of Ecological Footprint index is linked to high consumption of natural resources, which causes a negative impact on the environment. Few studies analyze the Ecological Footprint and its determinants considering the effects of neighboring countries. Therefore, we research whether the Ecological Footprints of 158 countries are spatially correlated, as well as their determinants. We retrieve the data from the Global Footprint Network and the World Bank for ten years (2007-2016) and apply a dynamic spatial Durbin model. Unlike previous studies of spatial dependence, we estimate the direct, indirect and total effects of biocapacity, trade openness and GDP on the Ecological Footprint in the short-run and long-run horizons. Our results detect significant spatial effects. We find that biocapacity, trade openness and GDP increase the Ecological Footprint of countries, however, the former two exhibit significant indirect effects in both horizons while the latter one display significant direct effects. These effects account for a significant share of the variation of the Ecological Footprint. Finally, we discuss the implications of our results to academics and policymakers.
生态足迹被定义为人类活动(如农业、渔业、畜牧业和基础设施建设)所造成的生态影响。高生态足迹指数与自然资源的高消耗有关,这对环境造成了负面影响。很少有研究分析生态足迹及其决定因素,同时考虑到邻国的影响。因此,我们研究了 158 个国家的生态足迹是否存在空间相关性,以及它们的决定因素。我们从全球足迹网络和世界银行检索了十年(2007-2016 年)的数据,并应用了动态空间杜宾模型。与以往关于空间依赖性的研究不同,我们估计了生物容量、贸易开放度和 GDP 在短期和长期对生态足迹的直接、间接和总效应。我们的结果检测到显著的空间效应。我们发现,生物容量、贸易开放度和 GDP 增加了国家的生态足迹,但前两者在两个时期都表现出显著的间接效应,而后者则表现出显著的直接效应。这些效应占生态足迹变化的很大一部分。最后,我们讨论了我们的研究结果对学术界和政策制定者的意义。