Liang Qi-Wei, Zhuang Shuang-Hao, Li Sheng
Department of Otorhinolaryngology of Longgang Center Hospital, The Ninth People's Hospital of Shenzhen, Shenzhen, China.
Department of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Thyroid Center/Thyroid Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Front Surg. 2024 Apr 10;11:1394809. doi: 10.3389/fsurg.2024.1394809. eCollection 2024.
Primary tumor surgery (PTS) may enhance survival among part of patients with metastatic head and neck cancer (mHNC). Herein, a predictive model was needed to construct to identify who can gain benefit remarkably from tumor resection.
Data of patients with mHNC were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The best cut-off value of age were analyzed using the X-tile software. One-to-one PSM, Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank test were performed for survival analysis.The independent factors determined using the multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression were used to construct the nomogram.
A total of 1,614 patients diagnosed with mHNC were included; among them, 356 (22.0%) underwent a surgical procedure for the excision of the primary tumor. cancer-specific survival (CSS) was remarkably prolonged in the PTS group relative to the non-PTS group following PSM [Median:19 months vs. 9 months; hazard ratio (HR) 0.52, < 0.001]. Patients with mHNC who were younger than 52 years old, had well-differentiated tumors, had T1 and N0 stages, and were married at the time of the study may have significantly benefited from PTS. In addition, we constructed a nomogram based on the factors that independently affect the CSS in multivariate Cox analysis. The nomogram showed excellent discrimination in both the training and validation sets (AUC: 0.732 and 0.738, respectively).
A practical predictive model was constructed to determine the appropriate patients with mHNC, who would benefit from surgical resection.
原发肿瘤手术(PTS)可能提高部分转移性头颈癌(mHNC)患者的生存率。因此,需要构建一个预测模型来识别哪些患者能从肿瘤切除中显著获益。
从监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中提取mHNC患者的数据。使用X-tile软件分析年龄的最佳截断值。采用一对一倾向评分匹配(PSM)、Kaplan-Meier法和对数秩检验进行生存分析。使用多变量Cox比例风险回归确定的独立因素构建列线图。
共纳入1614例诊断为mHNC的患者;其中,356例(22.0%)接受了原发肿瘤切除手术。PSM后,PTS组的癌症特异性生存(CSS)相对于非PTS组显著延长[中位数:19个月对9个月;风险比(HR)0.52,<0.001]。年龄小于52岁、肿瘤分化良好、处于T1和N0期且在研究时已婚的mHNC患者可能从PTS中显著获益。此外,我们基于多变量Cox分析中独立影响CSS的因素构建了列线图。列线图在训练集和验证集中均显示出良好的区分度(AUC分别为0.732和0.738)。
构建了一个实用的预测模型,以确定适合接受手术切除且能从手术中获益的mHNC患者。