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三十年间Cochrane系统评价与非Cochrane系统评价的对比分析

Comparative analysis of Cochrane and non-Cochrane reviews over three decades.

作者信息

Andersen Mikkel Zola, Zeinert Philine, Rosenberg Jacob, Fonnes Siv

机构信息

Center for Perioperative Optimization, Department of Surgery, Herlev and Gentofte Hospitals, University of Copenhagen, Borgmester Ib Juuls Vej 1, Herlev, 2730, Denmark.

Cochrane Colorectal Group, Herlev and Gentofte Hospitals, University of Copenhagen, Borgmester Ib Juuls Vej 1, Herlev, 2730, Denmark.

出版信息

Syst Rev. 2024 May 2;13(1):120. doi: 10.1186/s13643-024-02531-2.


DOI:10.1186/s13643-024-02531-2
PMID:38698429
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11064235/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Systematic reviews are viewed as the best study design to guide clinical decision-making as they are the least biased publications assuming they are well-conducted and include well-designed studies. Cochrane was initiated in 1993 with an aim of conducting high-quality systematic reviews. We aimed to examine the publication rates of non-Cochrane systematic reviews (henceforth referred to simply as "systematic reviews") and Cochrane reviews produced throughout Cochrane's existence and characterize changes throughout the period. METHODS: This observational study collected data on systematic reviews published between 1993 and 2022 in PubMed. Identified Cochrane reviews were linked to data from the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews via their Digital Object Identifier. Systematic reviews and Cochrane reviews were analyzed separately. Two authors screened a random sample of records to validate the overall sample, providing a precision of 98%. RESULTS: We identified 231,602 (94%) systematic reviews and 15,038 (6%) Cochrane reviews. Publication of systematic reviews has continuously increased with a median yearly increase rate of 26%, while publication of Cochrane reviews has decreased since 2015. From 1993 to 2002, Cochrane reviews constituted 35% of all systematic reviews in PubMed compared with 3.5% in 2013-2022. Systematic reviews consistently had fewer authors than Cochrane reviews, but the number of authors increased over time for both. Chinese first authors conducted 15% and 4% of systematic reviews published from 2013-2022 and 2003-2012, respectively. Most Cochrane reviews had first authors from the UK (36%). The native English-speaking countries the USA, the UK, Canada, and Australia produced a large share of systematic reviews (42%) and Cochrane reviews (62%). The largest publishers of systematic reviews in the last 10 years were gold open access journals. CONCLUSIONS: Publication of systematic reviews is increasing rapidly, while fewer Cochrane reviews have been published through the last decade. Native English-speaking countries produced a large proportion of both types of systematic reviews. Gold open access journals and Chinese first authors dominated the publication of systematic reviews for the past 10 years. More research is warranted examining why fewer Cochrane reviews are being published. Additionally, examining these systematic reviews for research waste metrics may provide a clearer picture of their utility.

摘要

背景:系统评价被视为指导临床决策的最佳研究设计,因为假设其实施良好且纳入精心设计的研究,那么它们是偏差最小的出版物。Cochrane始于1993年,旨在开展高质量的系统评价。我们旨在研究在Cochrane存在的整个期间所产生的非Cochrane系统评价(以下简称“系统评价”)和Cochrane评价的发表率,并描述这一时期的变化特征。 方法:这项观察性研究收集了1993年至2022年在PubMed上发表的系统评价数据。通过数字对象标识符将识别出的Cochrane评价与Cochrane系统评价数据库中的数据相链接。对系统评价和Cochrane评价分别进行分析。两名作者筛选了随机抽取的记录样本以验证总体样本,精确率为98%。 结果:我们识别出231,602篇(94%)系统评价和15,038篇(6%)Cochrane评价。系统评价的发表量持续增加,年增长率中位数为26%,而Cochrane评价自2015年以来有所下降。从1993年到2002年,Cochrane评价占PubMed中所有系统评价的35%,而在2013 - 2022年这一比例为3.5%。系统评价的作者数量始终少于Cochrane评价,但两者的作者数量都随时间增加。在2013 - 2022年和2003 - 2012年发表的系统评价中,中国第一作者分别占15%和4%。大多数Cochrane评价的第一作者来自英国(36%)。以英语为母语的国家美国、英国、加拿大和澳大利亚发表了很大比例的系统评价(42%)和Cochrane评价(62%)。过去10年中系统评价的最大出版商是金色开放获取期刊。 结论:系统评价的发表量正在迅速增加,而在过去十年中Cochrane评价的发表量减少。以英语为母语的国家在这两种类型的系统评价中都占很大比例。金色开放获取期刊和中国第一作者在过去10年的系统评价发表中占主导地位。有必要开展更多研究来探究为何Cochrane评价的发表量减少。此外,对这些系统评价进行研究浪费指标的考察可能会更清楚地了解它们的效用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3aad/11064235/77ec12d83c11/13643_2024_2531_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3aad/11064235/0d92ccfd19d8/13643_2024_2531_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3aad/11064235/d59e473f95a5/13643_2024_2531_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3aad/11064235/77ec12d83c11/13643_2024_2531_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3aad/11064235/0d92ccfd19d8/13643_2024_2531_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3aad/11064235/d59e473f95a5/13643_2024_2531_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3aad/11064235/77ec12d83c11/13643_2024_2531_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Definition, harms, and prevention of redundant systematic reviews.

Syst Rev. 2023-4-4

[2]
The historical group of withdrawn Cochrane reviews should be distinguished from retracted papers.

J Evid Based Med. 2021-12

[3]
Most Cochrane reviews have not been updated for more than 5 years.

J Evid Based Med. 2021-9

[4]
The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews.

BMJ. 2021-3-29

[5]
Half of Cochrane reviews were published more than 2 years after the protocol.

J Clin Epidemiol. 2020-8

[6]
Evidence synthesis for tackling research waste.

Nat Ecol Evol. 2020-4

[7]
Increasing number of authors in Cochrane reviews.

J Evid Based Med. 2020-2-22

[8]
Following Cochrane review protocols to completion 10 years later: a retrospective cohort study and author survey.

J Clin Epidemiol. 2019-3-27

[9]
Reflections on the history of systematic reviews.

BMJ Evid Based Med. 2018-8

[10]
Unpublished systematic reviews and financial support: a meta-epidemiological study.

BMC Res Notes. 2017-12-6

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