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俄乌冲突对马来西亚棕榈油产量的质量和数量的影响:时间序列分析。

Impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the quality and quantity of Malaysia's palm oil production: A time series analysis.

机构信息

Research Center for History, Politics and International Affairs, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi, Malaysia.

School of Communication, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Gelugor, Malaysia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 6;19(5):e0302405. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302405. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the quality and quantity of Malaysia's palm oil production through a time series analysis. The study uses three primary factors to evaluate palm oil production: the Monthly Oil Extraction Rate (OER), the Monthly Fresh Fruit Bunch (FFB) Yield, and the Monthly Oil Exports. The results indicate that the Russia-Ukraine conflict significantly impacted the quality and quantity of palm oil production in Malaysia. Marginal declines in both the quality and quantity of palm oil produced at the onset of the conflict indicate a slight but significant decline in palm oil production during the next four-year period.

摘要

本研究通过时间序列分析,探讨了俄乌冲突对马来西亚棕榈油产量的质量和数量的影响。该研究使用三个主要因素来评估棕榈油产量:月出油率(OER)、月鲜果串(FFB)产量和月出口量。结果表明,俄乌冲突对马来西亚棕榈油的产量的质量和数量都产生了重大影响。冲突开始时,棕榈油产量的质量和数量都略有下降,这表明在接下来的四年里,棕榈油产量略有但显著下降。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e8be/11073669/2a0465cef1ca/pone.0302405.g001.jpg

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