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运用机器学习技术比较按年龄和事故类型划分的致命事故风险因素。

Comparing fatal crash risk factors by age and crash type by using machine learning techniques.

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Najran University, Najran, Saudi Arabia.

Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Jouf University, Sakaka, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 6;19(5):e0302171. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302171. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

This study aims to use machine learning methods to examine the causative factors of significant crashes, focusing on accident type and driver's age. In this study, a wide-ranging data set from Jeddah city is employed to look into various factors, such as whether the driver was male or female, where the vehicle was situated, the prevailing weather conditions, and the efficiency of four machine learning algorithms, specifically XGBoost, Catboost, LightGBM and RandomForest. The results show that the XGBoost Model (accuracy of 95.4%), the CatBoost model (94% accuracy), and the LightGBM model (94.9% accuracy) were superior to the random forest model with 89.1% accuracy. It is worth noting that the LightGBM had the highest accuracy of all models. This shows various subtle changes in models, illustrating the need for more analyses while assessing vehicle accidents. Machine learning is also a transforming tool in traffic safety analysis while providing vital guidelines for developing accurate traffic safety regulations.

摘要

本研究旨在运用机器学习方法,探究重大事故的成因,重点关注事故类型和驾驶员年龄。本研究利用来自吉达市的广泛数据集,探讨了各种因素,如驾驶员的性别、车辆位置、 prevailing weather conditions 和四种机器学习算法的效率,分别是 XGBoost、Catboost、LightGBM 和 RandomForest。结果表明,XGBoost 模型(准确率为 95.4%)、CatBoost 模型(准确率为 94%)和 LightGBM 模型(准确率为 94.9%)优于随机森林模型(准确率为 89.1%)。值得注意的是,LightGBM 在所有模型中具有最高的准确率。这表明模型存在各种细微变化,在评估车辆事故时需要进行更多分析。机器学习在交通安全分析中也是一种变革性工具,为制定准确的交通安全法规提供了重要指导。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/be40/11073736/1d77c4a3a7d5/pone.0302171.g001.jpg

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