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中国产业的劳动力联系与流动路径。

Labor linkages and flow paths of industry in China.

作者信息

Li Xuan, Li Yueyang, Song Yu

机构信息

The Institute for Sustainable Development, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macau, 999078, China.

Business School, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macau, 999078, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Apr 26;10(9):e30118. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30118. eCollection 2024 May 15.

Abstract

As economic power increases and market patterns adapt, labor becomes an increasingly significant factor of production. However, there is a dearth of discourse regarding the structural changes that have occurred in the correlation of the labor force across industries, as well as a visual representation of the labor force's movement across industries. To quantify and analyze the correlation effect with greater precision, it is necessary to establish an input-output model as the foundation of analysis, comparing the changes in the total output of the economic system prior to and subsequent to the exclusion using the vertical integration algorithm. By decomposing the path structure, the average propagation distance of the labor force population's demand for each industry can be determined. By employing labor force population data from the corresponding years and China's input-output tables published by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) from 2005 to 2020, this study conducts a quantitative analysis of the correlation effect between labor force population and the trend of its transfer across 19 industries. The findings indicate that the correlation effect between labor force and population is most pronounced in the manufacturing sector. Furthermore, the construction sector faces an especially critical requirement for labor force personnel from other industries. The article culminates with a recommendation that the government enhance its macro-control endeavors to address labor market risk shocks and take an active stance in response to labor market fluctuations.

摘要

随着经济实力增强和市场格局调整,劳动力成为日益重要的生产要素。然而,对于各行业劳动力关联中发生的结构变化,以及劳动力在各行业间流动的直观呈现,相关论述匮乏。为更精确地量化和分析关联效应,有必要建立投入产出模型作为分析基础,运用垂直整合算法比较排除前后经济系统总产出的变化。通过分解路径结构,可确定劳动力人口对各行业需求的平均传播距离。本研究利用相应年份的劳动力人口数据以及中国国家统计局公布的2005年至2020年中国投入产出表,对劳动力人口与19个行业间的转移趋势的关联效应进行了定量分析。研究结果表明,劳动力与人口之间的关联效应在制造业最为显著。此外,建筑业对其他行业劳动力人员的需求尤为迫切。文章最后建议政府加强宏观调控努力,以应对劳动力市场风险冲击,并积极应对劳动力市场波动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4d9a/11078628/8d5d8811ded5/gr1.jpg

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