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巴西马托格罗索州 5 至 14 岁儿童死亡的高危时空聚集。

High-risk space-time clusters of mortality in children 5 to 14 years of age in Mato Grosso state, Brazil.

机构信息

Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (Fiocruz). R. Leopoldo Bulhões 1480, Manguinhos. 21041-210 Rio de Janeiro RJ Brasil.

Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Fiocruz Mato Grosso do Sul. Campo Grande MS Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2024 May;29(5):e08692023. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232024295.08692023. Epub 2023 Oct 20.

DOI:10.1590/1413-81232024295.08692023
PMID:38747770
Abstract

The study aimed to detect high-risk areas for deaths of children and adolescents 5 to 14 years of age in the state of Mato Grosso, Brazil, from 2009 to 2020. This was an exploratory ecological study with municipalities as the units of analysis. Considering mortality data from the Mortality Information System (SIM) and demographic data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), the study used multivariate statistics to identify space-time clusters of excess mortality risk in this age group. From 5 to 9 years of age, two clusters with high mortality risk were detected; the most likely located in the state's southern mesoregion (RR: 1.6; LRT: 8,53). Among the 5 clusters detected in the 10-14-year age group, the main cluster was in the state's northern mesoregion (RR: 2,26; LRT: 7,84). A reduction in mortality rates was observed in the younger age group and an increase in these rates in the older group. The identification of these clusters, whose analysis merits replication in other parts of Brazil, is the initial stage in the investigation of possible factors associated with morbidity and mortality in this group, still insufficiently explored, and for planning adequate interventions.

摘要

本研究旨在检测 2009 年至 2020 年巴西马托格罗索州 5 至 14 岁儿童和青少年死亡的高危地区。这是一项具有探索性的生态研究,以市为分析单位。考虑到来自死亡率信息系统(SIM)的死亡率数据和来自巴西地理与统计研究所(IBGE)的人口数据,该研究使用多变量统计方法来识别该年龄组超额死亡风险的时空聚类。在 5 至 9 岁年龄组中,发现了两个高死亡率风险的聚类;最有可能位于该州南部中地区(RR:1.6;LRT:8.53)。在 10 至 14 岁年龄组中检测到的 5 个聚类中,主要聚类位于该州北部中地区(RR:2.26;LRT:7.84)。在年龄较小的组中观察到死亡率的下降,而在年龄较大的组中死亡率则有所上升。这些聚类的识别是对该组发病率和死亡率相关因素进行调查的初始阶段,这些因素仍未得到充分探讨,并且需要进行规划以采取适当的干预措施。

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