Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Department of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Lancet Infect Dis. 2024 Sep;24(9):964-973. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(24)00220-2. Epub 2024 May 15.
BACKGROUND: During the 2023 Danish COVID-19 vaccination campaign, an updated monovalent mRNA vaccine targeting the SARS-CoV-2 omicron XBB.1.5 subvariant was administered. However, the rapid spread of a genetically divergent omicron BA.2.86 subvariant, JN.1, since September, 2023, poses potential challenges due to its rapid dominance and possible immune escape. Using national electronic health registry data from all regions of Denmark, we aimed to investigate whether the SARS-CoV-2 subvariant BA.2.86, and its descendant JN.1, differed from other circulating variants in terms of their ability to escape vaccine protection, the risk of infection leading to severe disease, and self-reported symptoms among infected people. METHODS: In this observational study, we included all residents of Denmark aged 65 years and older who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by PCR between Oct 1 and Dec 31, 2023, and for whom genomic data on the SARS-CoV-2 variant that had caused their infection were available. Data from clinical testing, sentinel, and self-sampling-based surveillance were linked with national electronic civil, vaccination, and hospitalisation registers. The relative protection of the XBB.1.5 updated COVID-19 vaccine against BA.2.86 infections versus infections with other variants was analysed in a case-only study, and the relative risk of hospitalisation in people infected with BA.2.86 versus other variants was analysed in a case-control study. Both analyses were adjusted for time, comorbidities, and previous vaccination history, among other potential confounders. Additionally, prevalence patterns in self-reported symptoms among people of all ages infected with SARS-CoV-2 were reported separately by subvariant. FINDINGS: Of the 7581 people in Denmark aged 65 years or older who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by PCR during the study period, 5882 (78%) samples were eligible for sequencing. 3862 (66%) of these passed quality control, were successfully sequenced, and the SARS-CoV-2 variant and subvariant identified, and these individuals were included in the study. Of these 3862 people, 2184 (57%) were infected with the BA.2.86 subvariant, including 1615 JN.1 infections. Participants infected with BA.2.86 had 1·52 (95% CI 1·25-1·86) times the odds, and those infected with JN.1 had 1·60 (1·27-2·02) times the odds, of having received the XBB.1.5 vaccine at least 7 days before their infection compared with participants infected with a non-BA.2.86 variant. The severity analysis showed no evidence of association between the infecting variant and the risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation (odds ratio 1·04 [95% CI 0·86-1·26] for BA.2.86 and 1·07 [0·85-1·34] for JN.1). Similarly, there was no evidence of differences in self-reported symptoms by variant strain. INTERPRETATION: Compared with other SARS-CoV-2 variants, BA.2.86 and the JN.1 sublineage were less sensitive to vaccine-induced immune protection from the XBB.1.5 updated COVID-19 vaccine; however, we found no evidence that infection with BA.2.86 or JN.1 resulted in increased disease severity or different symptom profiles. Although less effective against the new variants, XBB.1.5 vaccination remains protective and reduces the risk of infection and COVID-19 disease. FUNDING: The Danish Government and the EU's EU4Health programme.
背景:在 2023 年丹麦 COVID-19 疫苗接种运动期间,接种了一种针对 SARS-CoV-2 奥密克戎 XBB.1.5 亚变种的更新单价 mRNA 疫苗。然而,自 2023 年 9 月以来,一种遗传上截然不同的奥密克戎 BA.2.86 亚变种 JN.1 的快速传播,由于其快速主导地位和可能的免疫逃逸,带来了潜在的挑战。利用丹麦所有地区的国家电子健康登记数据,我们旨在研究 SARS-CoV-2 亚变种 BA.2.86 及其后代 JN.1 是否在逃避疫苗保护的能力、导致严重疾病的感染风险以及受感染人群的自我报告症状方面与其他循环变种不同。
方法:在这项观察性研究中,我们纳入了所有在 2023 年 10 月 1 日至 12 月 31 日期间通过 PCR 检测出 SARS-CoV-2 呈阳性的年龄在 65 岁及以上的丹麦居民,以及可获得导致其感染的 SARS-CoV-2 变种的基因组数据。临床检测、监测和自我采样监测的数据与国家电子公民、疫苗和住院登记处相链接。通过病例对照研究分析了 XBB.1.5 更新 COVID-19 疫苗对 BA.2.86 感染的相对保护作用,以及感染 BA.2.86 与其他变种的住院风险比。这两种分析均在其他潜在混杂因素中调整了时间、合并症和既往接种史等因素。此外,还分别报告了所有年龄感染 SARS-CoV-2 的人群中自我报告症状的流行模式。
结果:在研究期间,丹麦 65 岁及以上通过 PCR 检测出 SARS-CoV-2 呈阳性的 7581 人中,有 5882 人(78%)的样本符合测序条件。这些样本中 3862 人(66%)通过质量控制,成功测序并确定了 SARS-CoV-2 变种和亚变种,这些人被纳入了研究。在这 3862 人中,2184 人(57%)感染了 BA.2.86 亚变种,包括 1615 人感染了 JN.1。与感染非 BA.2.86 变种的参与者相比,感染 BA.2.86 的参与者感染 XBB.1.5 疫苗至少 7 天的可能性高 1.52 倍(95%CI 1.25-1.86),而感染 JN.1 的参与者的可能性高 1.60 倍(1.27-2.02)。严重程度分析没有证据表明感染变种与 COVID-19 住院风险之间存在关联(BA.2.86 的比值比为 1.04[95%CI 0.86-1.26],JN.1 为 1.07[0.85-1.34])。同样,没有证据表明不同的变种株与自我报告的症状存在差异。
解释:与其他 SARS-CoV-2 变种相比,BA.2.86 和 JN.1 亚系对 XBB.1.5 更新 COVID-19 疫苗诱导的免疫保护作用较低;然而,我们没有发现感染 BA.2.86 或 JN.1 会导致疾病严重程度增加或症状谱不同的证据。尽管对新变种的效果较差,但 XBB.1.5 疫苗接种仍然具有保护作用,可降低感染和 COVID-19 疾病的风险。
资助:丹麦政府和欧盟的 EU4Health 计划。
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