Utility of serum chemokine-like factor 1 as a biomarker of severity and prognosis after severe traumatic brain injury: A prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND

Chemokine-like factor 1 (CKLF1) may be involved in the inflammatory response and secondary brain injury after severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI). We determined serum CKLF1 levels of sTBI patients to further investigate the correlation of CKLF1 levels with disease severity, functional prognosis, and 180-day mortality of sTBI.

METHODS

Serum CKLF1 levels were measured at admission in 119 sTBI patients and at entry into study in 119 healthy controls. Serum CKLF levels of 50 patients were also quantified at days 1-3, 5, and 7 after admission. Glasgow coma scale (GCS) scores and Rotterdam computerized tomography (CT) classification were utilized to assess disease severity. Extended Glasgow outcome scale (GOSE) scores were recorded to evaluate function prognosis at 180 days after sTBI. Relations of serum CKLF1 levels to 180-day poor prognosis (GOSE scores of 1-4) and 180-day mortality were analyzed using univariate analysis, followed by multivariate analysis. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was built to investigate prognostic predictive capability.

RESULTS

Serum CKLF1 levels of sTBI patients increased at admission, peaked at day 2, and then gradually decreased; they were significantly higher during the 7 days after sTBI than in healthy controls. Differences of areas under ROC curve (areas under the curve [AUCs]) were not significant among the six time points. Multivariate analysis showed that serum CKLF1 levels were independently correlated with GCS scores, Rotterdam CT classification, and GOSE scores. Serum CKLF1 levels were significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors and in poor prognosis patients than in good prognosis patients. Serum CKLF1 levels independently predicted 180-day poor prognosis and 180-day mortality, and had high 180-day prognosis and mortality predictive abilities, and their AUCs were similar to those of GCS scores and Rotterdam CT classification. Combination model containing serum CKLF1, GCS scores, and Rotterdam CT classification performed more efficiently than any of them alone in predicting mortality and poor prognosis. The models were visually described using nomograms, which were comparatively stable under calibration curve and were relatively of clinical benefit under decision curve.

CONCLUSION

Serum CKLF1 levels are significantly associated with disease severity, poor 180-day prognosis, and 180-day mortality in sTBI patients. Hence, complement CKLF1 may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker of sTBI.