Institute of Ecology, College of Urban and Environmental Science and Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Key Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology, Ministry of Education, Institute of Grassland Science, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, China.
Nat Food. 2024 Jun;5(6):491-498. doi: 10.1038/s43016-024-00992-1. Epub 2024 May 24.
Crop diversification is increasingly recognized as a strategy to stabilize national food production, yet the benefits of this approach may vary across nations due to the scale dependence of crop diversity and stability. Here we use crop production data from 131 nations from 1961 to 2020 to explore the spatial scale dependence of the crop diversity-stability relationship. Drawing on ecological theory and complementary analytical approaches, we find that as the total national harvested area increases, yield stability increases. Crop diversity stabilizes national yield stability, as does an increase in the number of farms, but these stabilizing effects are weaker in smaller countries. Our findings suggest that enhancing crop diversity at the national level may not provide a de facto universal strategy for increasing yield stability across all countries-with implications for national strategies promoting crop diversification to protect against food system shocks.
作物多样化越来越被认为是稳定国家粮食生产的一种策略,但由于作物多样性和稳定性的规模依赖性,这种方法的好处可能因国家而异。在这里,我们使用了 1961 年至 2020 年间来自 131 个国家的作物生产数据,来探讨作物多样性-稳定性关系的空间尺度依赖性。基于生态学理论和互补的分析方法,我们发现,随着全国收获总面积的增加,产量稳定性也随之提高。作物多样性稳定了国家的产量稳定性,农场数量的增加也是如此,但在较小的国家,这种稳定效应较弱。我们的研究结果表明,在国家层面上提高作物多样性可能并不是在所有国家普遍提高产量稳定性的有效策略——这对促进作物多样化以应对粮食系统冲击的国家战略具有重要意义。