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利用支持向量机通过绿色金融促进清洁能源部门的可持续发展和创新。

Utilizing support vector machines to foster sustainable development and innovation in the clean energy sector via green finance.

机构信息

School of Information Technology, Deakin University, Geelong, VIC, 3216, Australia.

School of Public Administration, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, 510006, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 Jun;360:121225. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121225. Epub 2024 May 25.

DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121225
PMID:38796867
Abstract

As the global demand for clean energy continues to grow, the sustainable development of clean energy projects has become an important topic of research. in order to optimize the performance and sustainability of clean energy projects, this work explores the environmental and economic benefits of the clean energy industry. through the use of Support Vector Machine (SVM) Multi-factor models and a bi-level multi-objective approach, this work conducts comprehensive assessment and optimization. with wind power base a as a case study, the work describes the material consumption of wind turbines, transportation energy consumption and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and infrastructure material consumption through descriptive statistics. Moreover, this work analyzes the characteristics of different wind turbine models in depth. On one hand, the SVM multi-factor model is used to predict and assess the profitability of Wind Power Base A. On the other hand, a bi-level multi-objective approach is applied to optimize the number of units, internal rate of return within the project, and annual average equivalent utilization hours of the Wind Power Base A. The research results indicate that in March, the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index (NEX) was 0.91053, while the predicted value of the SVM multi-factor model was 0.98596. The predicted value is slightly higher than the actual value, demonstrating the model's good grasp of future returns. The cumulative rate of return of Wind Power Base A is 18.83%, with an annualized return of 9.47%, exceeding the market performance by 1.68%. Under the optimization of the bi-level multi-objective approach, the number of units at Wind Power Base A decreases from the original 7004 to 5860, with total purchase and transportation costs remaining basically unchanged. The internal rate of return of the project increases from 8% to 9.3%, and the annual equivalent utilization hours increase to 2044 h, comprehensively improving the investment return and utilization efficiency of the wind power base. Through optimization, significant improvements are achieved in terAs the global demand for clean energy continues to grow, the sustainable development of clean energy projects has become an important topic of research. In order to optimize the performance and sustainability of clean energy projects, this work explores the environmental and economic benefits of the clean energy industry. Through the use of Support Vector Machine (SVM) multi-factor models and a bi-level multi-objective approach, this work conducts comprehensive assessment and optimization. With Wind Power Base A as a case study, the work describes the material consumption of wind turbines, transportation energy consumption and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and infrastructure material consumption through descriptive statistics. Moreover, this work analyzes the characteristics of different wind turbine models in depth. On one hand, the SVM multi-factor model is used to predict and assess the profitability of Wind Power Base A. On the other hand, a bi-level multi-objective approach is applied to optimize the number of units, internal rate of return within the project, and annual average equivalent utilization hours of the Wind Power Base A. The research results indicate that in March, the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index (NEX) was 0.91053, while the predicted value of the SVM multi-factor model was 0.98596. The predicted value is slightly higher than the actual value, demonstrating the model's good grasp of future returns. The cumulative rate of return of Wind Power Base A is 18.83%, with an annualized return of 9.47%, exceeding the market performance by 1.68%. Under the optimization of the bi-level multi-objective approach, the number of units at Wind Power Base A decreases from the original 7004 to 5860, with total purchase and transportation costs remaining basically unchanged. The internal rate of return of the project increases from 8% to 9.3%, and the annual equivalent utilization hours increase to 2044 h, comprehensively improving the investment return and utilization efficiency of the wind power base. Through optimization, significant improvements are achieved in terms of the number of units, internal rate of return within the project, and annual average equivalent utilization hours at Wind Power Base A. The number of units decreases to 5860, with total purchase and transportation costs remaining basically unchanged, the internal rate of return increases to 9.3%, and annual equivalent utilization hours increase to 2044 h. Energy consumption and CO2 emissions are significantly reduced, with energy consumption decreasing by 0.68 × 109 kgce and CO2 emissions decreasing by 1.29 × 109 kg. The optimization effects are mainly concentrated in the production and installation stages, with emission reductions achieved through the recycling and disposal of materials consumed in the early stages. In terms of investment benefits, environmental benefits are enhanced, with a 13.93% reduction in CO2 emissions. Moreover, there is improved energy efficiency, with the energy input-output ratio increasing from 7.73 to 9.31. This indicates that the Wind Power Base A project has significant environmental and energy efficiency advantages in the clean energy industry. This work innovatively provides a comprehensive assessment and optimization scheme for clean energy projects and predicts the profitability of Wind Power Base A using SVM multi-factor models. Besides, this work optimizes key parameters of the project using a bi-level multi-objective approach, thus comprehensively improving the investment return and utilization efficiency of the wind power base. This work provides innovative methods and strong data support for the development of the clean energy industry, which is of great significance for promoting sustainable development under the backdrop of green finance.

摘要

随着全球对清洁能源的需求持续增长,清洁能源项目的可持续发展已成为研究的重要课题。为了优化清洁能源项目的性能和可持续性,本工作探讨了清洁能源产业的环境和经济效益。通过使用支持向量机(SVM)多因素模型和双层多目标方法,对其进行了全面评估和优化。以风力发电基地 A 为例,通过描述性统计描述了风力涡轮机的材料消耗、运输能源消耗和二氧化碳(CO2)排放以及基础设施材料消耗。此外,本工作还深入分析了不同风力涡轮机模型的特点。一方面,使用 SVM 多因素模型预测和评估风力发电基地 A 的盈利能力。另一方面,应用双层多目标方法优化风力发电基地 A 的机组数量、项目内部收益率和年平均等效利用小时数。研究结果表明,3 月份 WilderHill 新能源全球创新指数(NEX)为 0.91053,而 SVM 多因素模型的预测值为 0.98596。预测值略高于实际值,表明模型对未来收益有较好的把握。风力发电基地 A 的累计收益率为 18.83%,年化收益率为 9.47%,超过市场表现 1.68%。在双层多目标方法的优化下,风力发电基地 A 的机组数量从原来的 7004 台减少到 5860 台,总采购和运输成本基本保持不变。项目内部收益率从 8%提高到 9.3%,年等效利用小时数增加到 2044 小时,全面提高了风力发电基地的投资回报和利用效率。通过优化,风力发电基地 A 的机组数量、项目内部收益率和年平均等效利用小时数等关键参数得到了显著改善。在清洁能源产业中,本工作创新性地提供了一种全面的评估和优化方案,使用 SVM 多因素模型预测了风力发电基地 A 的盈利能力,并通过双层多目标方法优化了项目的关键参数,从而全面提高了风力发电基地的投资回报和利用效率。本工作为清洁能源产业的发展提供了创新的方法和有力的数据支持,对于在绿色金融背景下促进可持续发展具有重要意义。

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