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在埃塞俄比亚霍瓦萨市医院就诊的道路交通事故受害者的死亡率及其预测因素。

Incidence and predictors of mortality among road traffic accident victims admitted to hospitals at Hawassa city, Ethiopia.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Hawassa College of Health Sciences, Hawassa, Sidama, Ethiopia.

School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Hawassa University, Hawassa, Sidama, Ethiopia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 29;19(5):e0296946. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0296946. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Globally, road traffic accidents are the eighth-leading cause of death for all age groups. The estimated number of road traffic deaths in low income countries was more than three times as high as in high-income countries. Africa had the highest rate of fatalities attributed to road traffic accidents. Ethiopia has the highest number of road traffic fatalities among Sub-Saharan African countries. The main objective of this study was to determine the incidence and predictors of mortality among road traffic victims admitted to hospitals in Hawassa City.

METHODS

A facility-based retrospective cohort study was conducted using secondary data from hospital records. A total of 398 road traffic accident victims admitted to selected hospitals in Hawassa city from January 2019 to December 2021 participated in the study. Data were analyzed using STATA version 14.1. The Cox regression model was used to determine the predictors of mortality. A hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval and a cut-off value of P<0.05 was used to declare the risk and statistical significance, respectively.

RESULT

The incidence rate of mortality for road traffic accident victims was 7.34 per 10,000 person-hours. The predictors of mortality were the value of GCS at admission <8 (aHR = 5.86; 95% CI: 2.00-17.19), GCS at admission 9-12 (aHR = 3.27; 95% CI: 1.28-8.40), the value of SBP at admission ≤89mmHg (aHR = 4.41; 95% CI: 2.22-8.77), admission to the ICU (aHR = 3.89; 95% CI: 1.83-8.28) and complications (aHR = 5.48; 95% CI: 2.74-10.01).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of mortality among road traffic victims admitted to hospitals in Hawassa city was high. Thus, thorough follow-up and intensive management should be given to victims with critical health conditions.

摘要

背景

在全球范围内,道路交通伤害是所有年龄段人群的第八大死亡原因。低收入国家道路交通事故死亡人数是高收入国家的三倍多。非洲的道路交通事故死亡率最高。在撒哈拉以南非洲国家中,埃塞俄比亚的道路交通事故死亡人数最多。本研究的主要目的是确定在 Hawassa 市医院就诊的道路交通伤害患者的发病率和死亡预测因素。

方法

这是一项利用医院记录的二级数据进行的基于设施的回顾性队列研究。共有 398 名 2019 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月期间在 Hawassa 市选定医院就诊的道路交通伤害患者参与了这项研究。使用 STATA 版本 14.1 分析数据。Cox 回归模型用于确定死亡率的预测因素。使用风险比(95%置信区间)和截断值 P<0.05 来表示风险和统计学意义。

结果

道路交通伤害患者的死亡率发生率为每 10000 人小时 7.34 人。死亡率的预测因素包括入院时 GCS 值<8(aHR = 5.86;95%CI:2.00-17.19)、入院时 GCS 值 9-12(aHR = 3.27;95%CI:1.28-8.40)、入院时 SBP 值≤89mmHg(aHR = 4.41;95%CI:2.22-8.77)、入住 ICU(aHR = 3.89;95%CI:1.83-8.28)和并发症(aHR = 5.48;95%CI:2.74-10.01)。

结论

Hawassa 市医院就诊的道路交通伤害患者的死亡率发生率较高。因此,应对有严重健康状况的患者进行彻底的随访和强化管理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c481/11135675/99b36015d9c8/pone.0296946.g001.jpg

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