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使用 CMAQ 的伴随模型对首尔都会区地面臭氧来源贡献的案例研究。

A case study of surface ozone source contributions in the Seoul metropolitan area using the adjoint of CMAQ.

机构信息

Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.

出版信息

J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2024 Jul;74(7):511-530. doi: 10.1080/10962247.2024.2361021. Epub 2024 Jul 12.

DOI:10.1080/10962247.2024.2361021
PMID:38809877
Abstract

To quantitatively investigate the transboundary behaviors and source attributions of ozone (O) and its precursor species over East Asia, we utilize the adjoint technique in the CMAQ modeling system (the CMAQ adjoint). Our focus is on the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) in South Korea, which is the receptor region of this study. We examine the contributions of both local and transported emissions to an O exceedance episode observed on June 3, 2019, estimating up to four days in advance. By using the CMAQ adjoint, we can determine the sensitivity of O remaining in the SMA to changes in O precursor emissions (emissions-based sensitivity) and concentrations (concentrations-based sensitivity) along the long-range transport pathways and emission source regions overseas. These include Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH), Shandong, Yangtze River Delta (YRD), and Central China. CMAQ adjoint-derived source attributions suggest that overseas precursor emissions and O contributed significantly to the O exceedance event in SMA. The emissions-based sensitivities revealed that precursor emissions originating from Shandong, YRD, Central China, and BTH contributed 11.42 ppb, 4.28 ppb, 1.24 ppb, 0.9 ppb, respectively, to the O exceedance episode observed in the SMA. Meanwhile, Korean emissions contributed 31.1 ppb. Concentrations-based sensitivities indicated that 19.3 ppb of contributions originated in regions beyond eastern China and directly affected the O level in the SMA in the form of background O. In addition to capturing the transboundary movements of air parcels between the source and receptor regions, we performed HYSPLIT backward trajectory analyses. The results align with the trajectories of O and its precursors that we obtained from the adjoint method. This study represents a unique effort in employing the adjoint technique to examine the impacts of regional O on South Korea, utilizing a combination of emissions-based and concentrations-based sensitivities.: This research brings to light the critical role of both local and regional precursor emissions in contributing to an ozone (O) exceedance event in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA), South Korea. Utilizing the CMAQ adjoint technique, a novel approach in the context of South Korea's O investigations, we were able to delineate the quantitative contributions of different regions, both within South Korea and from overseas areas such as Beijing, Shandong, Shanghai, and Central China. Importantly, the results underscore the substantial influence of transboundary pollutant transport, emphasizing the need for international collaboration in addressing air quality issues. As metropolitan areas around the globe grapple with similar challenges, the methodology and insights from this study offer a potent tool and framework for regions seeking to understand and mitigate the impacts of O on human health and the environment. By integrating different sensitivity types, coupled with HYSPLIT backward trajectory analyses, this research equips policymakers with comprehensive data to design targeted interventions, emphasizing the significance of collaborative efforts in tackling regional air pollution challenges. However, it's important to note the limitation of this study, which is a case study conducted over a short time period. This constraint may impact the generalizability of the findings and suggests a need for further research to validate and expand upon these results.

摘要

为了定量研究东亚地区臭氧(O)及其前体物质的跨境行为和来源归因,我们利用了 CMAQ 建模系统中的伴随技术(CMAQ 伴随)。我们的研究重点是韩国的首尔大都市地区(SMA),这是本研究的受体区域。我们考察了当地和传输排放对 2019 年 6 月 3 日观察到的臭氧超标事件的贡献,提前最多四天进行了估计。通过使用 CMAQ 伴随,我们可以确定 O 在 SMA 中剩余量对 O 前体排放变化的敏感性(基于排放的敏感性)和沿远程传输路径和海外排放源地区的浓度变化的敏感性(基于浓度的敏感性)。这些排放源地区包括北京-天津-河北(BTH)、山东、长江三角洲(YRD)和中国中部。CMAQ 伴随衍生的源归因表明,海外前体排放和 O 对 SMA 中的 O 超标事件有显著贡献。基于排放的敏感性研究表明,山东、YRD、中国中部和 BTH 的前体排放分别对 SMA 中观察到的 O 超标事件贡献了 11.42 ppb、4.28 ppb、1.24 ppb 和 0.9 ppb。与此同时,韩国的排放贡献了 31.1 ppb。基于浓度的敏感性表明,19.3 ppb 的贡献来自于中国东部以外的地区,并以背景 O 的形式直接影响 SMA 中的 O 水平。除了捕捉源区和受体区之间空气粒子的跨境运动外,我们还进行了 HYSPLIT 后向轨迹分析。结果与我们从伴随方法获得的 O 和其前体的轨迹一致。这项研究代表了在韩国利用伴随技术研究区域 O 对韩国的影响方面的独特努力,利用了基于排放和基于浓度的敏感性的组合。

本研究揭示了本地和区域前体排放对韩国首尔大都市地区(SMA)臭氧(O)超标事件的重要贡献。利用 CMAQ 伴随技术,这是韩国 O 调查背景下的一种新方法,我们能够确定来自韩国和海外地区(如北京、山东、上海和中国中部)的不同区域的定量贡献。重要的是,研究结果强调了跨境污染物传输的重要性,突出了国际合作解决空气质量问题的必要性。随着全球各地的大都市地区都面临着类似的挑战,本研究的方法和见解为寻求了解和减轻 O 对人类健康和环境影响的地区提供了一个有力的工具和框架。通过整合不同的敏感性类型,再加上 HYSPLIT 后向轨迹分析,这项研究为决策者提供了全面的数据,以制定有针对性的干预措施,强调了在应对区域空气污染挑战方面进行合作的重要性。然而,需要注意的是,本研究存在一定的局限性,这是一项在短时间内进行的案例研究。这种限制可能会影响研究结果的普遍性,并表明需要进一步的研究来验证和扩展这些结果。

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