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免疫检查点抑制剂作为晚期食管鳞癌二线治疗的成本效果分析:基于网络荟萃分析。

Immune checkpoint inhibitors as the second-line treatment for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a cost-effectiveness analysis based on network meta-analysis.

机构信息

Center for Clinical Pharmacy, Cancer Center, Department of Pharmacy, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital (Affiliated People's Hospital), Hangzhou Medical College, 158 Shangtang Rd, Gongsu District, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310014, China.

Central Hospital of Haining, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

BMC Cancer. 2024 May 29;24(1):654. doi: 10.1186/s12885-024-12423-2.


DOI:10.1186/s12885-024-12423-2
PMID:38811891
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11134960/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have demonstrated superior clinical efficacy in prolonging overall survival (OS) as the second-line treatment for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and were recommended by the guidelines. However, it remains uncertain which ICI is the most cost-effective. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of ICIs as the second-line treatment for ESCC based on the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS: A network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to obtain the Hazard ratios (HRs) for indirect comparisons. A three-state Markov model with a 10-year time horizon was conducted to assess the cost-effectiveness. The state transition probabilities were calculated with Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves data from clinical trial and HRs from the NMA. Utilities and costs were derived from local charges or previously published studies. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were performed to examine model robustness. The results were assessed based on the total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: Five clinical trials (ATTRACTION-3, ESCORT, KEYNOTE-181, ORIENT-2, RATIONALE-302) with a total of 1797 patients were included in the NMA. The NMA showed that both camrelizumab and tislelizumab received relatively high rankings for progression-free survival (PFS) and OS. Compared with sintilimab, treatment with tislelizumab and camrelizumab gained 0.018 and 0.034 additional QALYs, resulting in incremental ICERs of $75,472.65/QALY and $175,681.9/QALY, respectively. Nivolumab and pembrolizumab produced lower QALYs and greater costs, suggesting that both were dominated in comparison to sintilimab. HRs and health state utilities were the most influential parameters in most univariate sensitivity analyses of paired comparisons. PSA results suggested that sintilimab had an 84.4% chance of being the most cost-effective treatment regimen at the WTP threshold of $38,223.34/QALY. In the scenario analysis, sintilimab would no longer be cost-effective, if the price of camrelizumab was assumed to decrease by 64.6% or the price of tislelizumab was assumed to decrease by 16.9%. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among the five potential competing ICIs, sintilimab was likely to be the most cost-effective regimen as the second-line treatment for locally advanced or metastatic ESCC in China.

摘要

背景:免疫检查点抑制剂(ICIs)作为晚期或转移性食管鳞状细胞癌(ESCC)的二线治疗药物,在延长总生存期(OS)方面显示出了优异的临床疗效,被指南推荐。然而,哪种 ICI 最具成本效益仍不确定。本研究从中国医疗保健系统的角度评估了 ICI 作为 ESCC 二线治疗的成本效益。

方法:进行网络荟萃分析(NMA)以获得间接比较的风险比(HRs)。采用具有 10 年时间范围的三状态马尔可夫模型来评估成本效益。状态转移概率根据临床试验的 Kaplan-Meier(KM)曲线数据和 NMA 中的 HRs 进行计算。效用和成本源自当地收费或先前发表的研究。进行单变量和概率敏感性分析(PSA)以检查模型稳健性。结果基于总成本、质量调整生命年(QALYs)和增量成本效益比(ICERs)进行评估。

结果:五项临床试验(ATTRACTION-3、ESCORT、KEYNOTE-181、ORIENT-2、RATIONALE-302)共纳入 1797 例患者,纳入 NMA。NMA 显示卡瑞利珠单抗和替雷利珠单抗在无进展生存期(PFS)和 OS 方面的排名均较高。与信迪利单抗相比,替雷利珠单抗和卡瑞利珠单抗治疗可分别获得 0.018 和 0.034 个额外的 QALYs,增量 ICER 分别为 75472.65/QALY 和 175681.9/QALY。纳武利尤单抗和帕博利珠单抗产生较低的 QALYs 和更高的成本,表明与信迪利单抗相比,两者均处于劣势。HRs 和健康状态效用是大多数配对比较的单变量敏感性分析中最具影响力的参数。PSA 结果表明,如果将信迪利单抗的支付意愿阈值设定为 38223.34/QALY,则信迪利单抗有 84.4%的可能性成为最具成本效益的治疗方案。在情景分析中,如果假设卡瑞利珠单抗的价格降低 64.6%或替雷利珠单抗的价格降低 16.9%,则信迪利单抗将不再具有成本效益。

结论和相关性:在五种潜在的竞争 ICI 中,信迪利单抗作为中国局部晚期或转移性 ESCC 的二线治疗药物,可能是最具成本效益的方案。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e96/11134960/de7069f3a27a/12885_2024_12423_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e96/11134960/bfa50278791f/12885_2024_12423_Figa_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e96/11134960/ef3bcca8ef26/12885_2024_12423_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e96/11134960/de7069f3a27a/12885_2024_12423_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e96/11134960/bfa50278791f/12885_2024_12423_Figa_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e96/11134960/ef3bcca8ef26/12885_2024_12423_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e96/11134960/de7069f3a27a/12885_2024_12423_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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引用本文的文献

[1]
Efficacy and safety of PD-1 inhibitors as second-line treatment for advanced squamous esophageal cancer: a systematic review and network meta-analysis with a focus on PD-L1 expression levels.

Front Immunol. 2025-1-23

[2]
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MedComm (2020). 2024-10-15

本文引用的文献

[1]
[Cancer statistics in China, 2016].

Zhonghua Zhong Liu Za Zhi. 2023-3-23

[2]
Cost-effectiveness analysis of PD-1 inhibitors combined with chemotherapy as first-line therapy for advanced esophageal squamous-cell carcinoma in China.

Front Pharmacol. 2023-3-2

[3]
Cost-effectiveness analysis of sintilimab plus chemotherapy for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Front Oncol. 2022-12-8

[4]
Cost-effectiveness analysis of sintilimab vs. placebo in combination with chemotherapy as first-line therapy for local advanced or metastatic oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Front Oncol. 2022-12-6

[5]
Economic evaluation of tislelizumab versus chemotherapy as second-line treatment for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in China.

Front Pharmacol. 2022-11-16

[6]
Comprehensive Curative Effect of Targeting PD-1 or Traditional Single-Agent Chemotherapy in Second-Line Therapy for Terminal or Metastatic Esophageal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

J Oncol. 2022-8-25

[7]
Tislelizumab Versus Chemotherapy as Second-Line Treatment for Advanced or Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (RATIONALE-302): A Randomized Phase III Study.

J Clin Oncol. 2022-9-10

[8]
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Pembrolizumab in Patients With Advanced Esophageal Cancer Based on the KEYNOTE-181 Study.

Front Public Health. 2022-3-2

[9]
Clinical and biomarker analyses of sintilimab versus chemotherapy as second-line therapy for advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a randomized, open-label phase 2 study (ORIENT-2).

Nat Commun. 2022-2-14

[10]
First-Line Treatments for Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors Plus Chemotherapy: A Network Meta-Analysis and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

Front Oncol. 2022-1-19

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