OBJECTIVES

We aimed to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) images and clinical features to classify the time since stroke (TSS), which could facilitate stroke decision-making.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective three-center study consecutively included 488 stroke patients who underwent DECT between August 2016 and August 2022. The eligible patients were divided into training, test, and validation cohorts according to the center. The patients were classified into two groups based on an estimated TSS threshold of ≤ 4.5 h. Virtual images optimized the visibility of early ischemic lesions with more CT attenuation. A total of 535 radiomics features were extracted from polyenergetic, iodine concentration, virtual monoenergetic, and non-contrast images reconstructed using DECT. Demographic factors were assessed to build a clinical model. A radiomics nomogram was a tool that the Rad score and clinical factors to classify the TSS using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Predictive performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to compare the clinical utility and benefits of different models.

RESULTS

Twelve features were used to build the radiomics model. The nomogram incorporating both clinical and radiomics features showed favorable predictive value for TSS. In the validation cohort, the nomogram showed a higher AUC than the radiomics-only and clinical-only models (AUC: 0.936 vs 0.905 vs 0.824). DCA demonstrated the clinical utility of the radiomics nomogram model.

CONCLUSIONS

The DECT-based radiomics nomogram provides a promising approach to predicting the TSS of patients.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The findings support the potential clinical use of DECT-based radiomics nomograms for predicting the TSS.

KEY POINTS

Accurately determining the TSS onset is crucial in deciding a treatment approach. The radiomics-clinical nomogram showed the best performance for predicting the TSS. Using the developed model to identify patients at different times since stroke can facilitate individualized management.