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基于环境因素集成的韩国清州市洪水易感性制图:多种机器学习方法的应用。

Flood susceptibility mapping of Cheongju, South Korea based on the integration of environmental factors using various machine learning approaches.

机构信息

Department of Science Education, Kangwon National University, 1 Gangwondaehak-gil, Chuncheon-si, Gangwon-do, 24341, Republic of Korea; Civil Engineering, Sunan Bonang University, Tuban, East Java, 62315, Indonesia.

Geoscience Data Center Division, Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources (KIGAM), 124, Gwahak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon, 34132, Republic of Korea; Department of Geophysical Exploration, Korea University of Science and Technology, 217 Gajeong-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon, 305-350, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 Jul;364:121291. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121291. Epub 2024 Jun 13.

Abstract

Floods are natural occurrences that pose serious risks to human life and the environment, including significant property and infrastructure damage and subsequent socioeconomic challenges. Recent floods in Cheongju County, South Korea have been linked to river overflow. In this study, we created flood susceptibility maps of Cheongju, South Korea using machine learning techniques including support vector regression (SVR), boosted tree (BOOST), and long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithms, based on environmental factors. Potentially influential variables were selected based on flood data gathered through field surveys; these included the slope, aspect, length-slope factor, wind exposition index, terrain wetness index, plan curvature, normalized difference water index, geology, soil drainage, soil depth, soil texture, land use type, and forest density. To improve the robustness of the flood susceptibility model, the most influential factors were identified using the frequency ratio method. Implementing machine learning techniques like SVR and BOOST produced encouraging outcomes, achieving the area under the curve (AUC) of 83.16% and 86.70% for training, and 81.65% and 86.43% for testing, respectively. While, the LSTM algorithm showed superior flood susceptibility mapping performance, with an AUC value of 87.01% for training and 86.91% for testing, demonstrating its robust performance and reliability in accurately assessing flood susceptibility. The results of this study enhance our understanding of flood susceptibility in South Korea and demonstrate the potential of the proposed approach for informing and guiding crucial regional policy decisions, contributing to a more resilient and prepared future.

摘要

洪水是自然发生的,对人类生命和环境构成严重威胁,包括重大的财产和基础设施破坏以及随后的社会经济挑战。韩国忠清北道的最近洪水与河流溢出有关。在这项研究中,我们基于环境因素,使用支持向量回归 (SVR)、提升树 (BOOST) 和长短期记忆 (LSTM) 算法等机器学习技术,为韩国忠清北道创建了洪水易感性图。根据通过实地调查收集的洪水数据,选择了潜在的有影响力的变量;这些变量包括坡度、方位、长度坡度因子、风暴露指数、地形湿度指数、平面曲率、归一化差异水指数、地质、土壤排水、土壤深度、土壤质地、土地利用类型和森林密度。为了提高洪水易感性模型的稳健性,使用频率比方法确定了最有影响力的因素。实施 SVR 和 BOOST 等机器学习技术产生了令人鼓舞的结果,训练的曲线下面积 (AUC) 分别为 83.16%和 86.70%,测试的 AUC 分别为 81.65%和 86.43%。而 LSTM 算法在洪水易感性图绘制方面表现出更好的性能,训练的 AUC 值为 87.01%,测试的 AUC 值为 86.91%,表明其在准确评估洪水易感性方面具有稳健的性能和可靠性。本研究的结果提高了我们对韩国洪水易感性的理解,并展示了所提出方法在为重要的区域政策决策提供信息和指导方面的潜力,有助于建设更具弹性和准备充分的未来。

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