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基于层次-灰色熵云模型的渠化右转车道行人-车辆冲突风险评估研究。

Study on the risk assessment of Pedestrian-Vehicle conflicts in channelized Right-Turn lanes based on the Hierarchical-Grey Entropy-Cloud model.

机构信息

College of Transportation Engineering, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, PR China.

College of Transportation Engineering, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, PR China.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2024 Sep;205:107664. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107664. Epub 2024 Jun 14.

Abstract

Channelized right-turn lanes (CRTLs) in urban areas have been effective in improving the efficiency of right-turning vehicles but have also presented negative impacts on pedestrian movement. Pedestrians experience confusion regarding the allocation of road space when crossing crosswalks within these areas, leading to frequent conflicts between pedestrians and motor vehicles. In this paper, considering the characteristics of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts at channelized right-turn lanes as well as the ambiguity and uncertainty of the causes, a comprehensive assignment combined with a cloud model is proposed as a risk evaluation model for pedestrian-vehicle conflicts. The study established a risk indicator system based on three aspects of the transportation system: pedestrians, motor vehicles, and the road environment. Combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), grey relational analysis (GRA), and entropy weighting method (EWM) to get the weights of indicator combinations, and then using the cloud model to realize quantitative and qualitative language transformation to complete the risk evaluation. This study employs specific road segments in Qingdao as a validation case for model analysis. The results indicate that the model's evaluation outcomes exhibited a significant level of agreement with the findings from field investigations during both peak and off-peak periods. It is demonstrated that the model has good performance for the safety assessment of pedestrian-vehicle conflicts at CRTL, and it also reflects the ability of the model to assess fuzzy randomness problems. It provides participation value for urban pedestrian-vehicle safety problems as well as applications in other fields.

摘要

在城市地区设置的右转专用车道(CRTL)提高了右转车辆的通行效率,但也对行人通行造成了负面影响。在这些区域内,行人在穿过人行横道时对于道路空间的分配感到困惑,从而导致行人和机动车之间经常发生冲突。在本文中,考虑到在右转专用车道上的行人和机动车冲突的特点,以及冲突原因的模糊性和不确定性,提出了一种综合赋值与云模型相结合的方法,作为行人和机动车冲突的风险评估模型。本研究基于交通系统的三个方面:行人、机动车和道路环境,建立了一个风险指标体系。通过层次分析法(AHP)、灰色关联分析(GRA)和熵权法(EWM)来确定指标组合的权重,然后利用云模型实现定性和定量语言的转换,完成风险评估。本研究以青岛的特定路段作为模型分析的验证案例。结果表明,模型的评价结果与高峰期和非高峰期现场调查的结果具有显著的一致性。这表明该模型在 CRTL 上的行人和机动车冲突的安全评估方面具有良好的性能,并且反映了模型评估模糊随机性问题的能力。它为城市行人和机动车安全问题提供了参与价值,也为其他领域的应用提供了参考。

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