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肱中(subscapular)皮下脂肪和肌肉量的轨迹可独立于体重指数预测血液透析患者的死亡率。

Trajectory of mid-arm subcutaneous fat, muscle mass predicts mortality in hemodialysis patients independent of body mass index.

机构信息

School of Basic Medicine, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Department of Nephrology, Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital, Zhongshan East Road, Guiyang, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Jun 18;14(1):14005. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-64728-8.

Abstract

Although decreasing body mass index (BMI) is associated with higher mortality risk in patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD), BMI neither differentiates muscle and fat mass nor provides information about the variations of fat distribution. It remains unclear whether changes over time in fat and muscle mass are associated with mortality. We examined the prognostic significance of trajectory in the triceps skinfold (TSF) thickness and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC). In this multicenter prospective cohort study, 972 outpatients (mean age, 54.5 years; 55.3% men) undergoing maintenance HD at 22 treatment centers were included. We calculated the relative change in TSF and MUAC over a 1-year period. The outcome was all-cause mortality. Kaplan-Meier, Cox proportional hazard analyses, restricted cubic splines, and Fine and Gray sub-distribution hazards models were performed to examine whether TSF and MUAC trajectories were associated with all-cause mortality. During follow-up (median, 48.0 months), 206 (21.2%) HD patients died. Compared with the lowest trajectory group, the highest trajectories of TSF and MUAC were independently associated with lower risk for all-cause mortality (HR = 0.405, 95% CI 0.257-0.640; HR = 0.537; 95% CI 0.345-0.837; respectively), even adjusting for BMI trajectory. Increasing TSF and MUAC over time, measured as continuous variables and expressed per 1-standard deviation decrease, were associated with a 55.7% (HR = 0.443, 95% CI 0.302-0.649), and 97.8% (HR = 0.022, 95% CI 0.005-0.102) decreased risk of all-cause mortality. Reduction of TSF and MUAC are independently associated with lower all-cause mortality, independent of change in BMI. Our study revealed that the trajectory of TSF thickness and MUAC provides additional prognostic information to the BMI trajectory in HD patients.

摘要

尽管体重指数(BMI)降低与接受血液透析(HD)的患者的死亡率升高相关,但 BMI 既不能区分肌肉和脂肪量,也不能提供有关脂肪分布变化的信息。目前尚不清楚脂肪和肌肉质量随时间的变化是否与死亡率相关。我们研究了三头肌皮褶厚度(TSF)和中上臂周径(MUAC)轨迹的预后意义。在这项多中心前瞻性队列研究中,纳入了 22 个治疗中心的 972 名接受维持性 HD 的门诊患者(平均年龄 54.5 岁;55.3%为男性)。我们计算了 TSF 和 MUAC 在 1 年内的相对变化。结果是全因死亡率。进行 Kaplan-Meier、Cox 比例风险分析、限制性立方样条、Fine 和 Gray 亚分布风险模型,以检查 TSF 和 MUAC 轨迹是否与全因死亡率相关。在随访期间(中位数为 48.0 个月),206 名(21.2%)HD 患者死亡。与最低轨迹组相比,TSF 和 MUAC 的最高轨迹与全因死亡率降低独立相关(HR=0.405,95%CI 0.257-0.640;HR=0.537;95%CI 0.345-0.837;分别),即使调整 BMI 轨迹也是如此。随着时间的推移,TSF 和 MUAC 的增加(表示为连续变量,并按每 1 个标准差的减少表示)与全因死亡率降低 55.7%(HR=0.443,95%CI 0.302-0.649)和 97.8%(HR=0.022,95%CI 0.005-0.102)相关。TSF 和 MUAC 的减少与全因死亡率降低独立相关,与 BMI 的变化无关。我们的研究表明,TSF 厚度和 MUAC 的轨迹为 HD 患者的 BMI 轨迹提供了额外的预后信息。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9f58/11189518/26ae86c2858c/41598_2024_64728_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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