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网络荟萃分析简化:一种复合似然方法。

Network meta-analysis made simple: a composite likelihood approach.

作者信息

Liu Yu-Lun, Zhang Bingyu, Chu Haitao, Chen Yong

机构信息

Peter O'Donnell Jr. School of Public Health, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.

Center for Health AI and Synthesis of Evidence, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

出版信息

medRxiv. 2024 Jun 20:2024.06.19.24309163. doi: 10.1101/2024.06.19.24309163.

DOI:10.1101/2024.06.19.24309163
PMID:38947001
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11213057/
Abstract

Network meta-analysis, also known as mixed treatments comparison meta-analysis or multiple treatments meta-analysis, extends conventional pairwise meta-analysis by simultaneously synthesizing multiple interventions in a single integrated analysis. Despite the growing popularity of network metaanalysis within comparative effectiveness research, it comes with potential challenges. For example, within-study correlations among treatment comparisons are rarely reported in the published literature. Yet, these correlations are pivotal for valid statistical inference. As demonstrated in earlier studies, ignoring these correlations can inflate mean squared errors of the resulting point estimates and lead to inaccurate standard error estimates. This paper introduces a composite likelihood-based approach that ensures accurate statistical inference without requiring knowledge of the within-study correlations. The proposed method is computationally robust and efficient, with substantially reduced computational time compared to the state-of-the-science methods implemented in packages. The proposed method was evaluated through extensive simulations and applied to two important applications including a network meta-analysis comparing interventions for primary open-angle glaucoma, and another comparing treatments for chronic prostatitis and chronic pelvic pain syndrome.

摘要

网络荟萃分析,也称为混合治疗比较荟萃分析或多种治疗荟萃分析,通过在单一综合分析中同时综合多种干预措施,扩展了传统的成对荟萃分析。尽管网络荟萃分析在比较效果研究中越来越受欢迎,但它也带来了潜在的挑战。例如,已发表文献中很少报告治疗比较中的研究内相关性。然而,这些相关性对于有效的统计推断至关重要。正如早期研究所示,忽略这些相关性会夸大所得点估计的均方误差,并导致标准误差估计不准确。本文介绍了一种基于复合似然的方法,该方法无需了解研究内相关性即可确保准确的统计推断。所提出的方法在计算上稳健且高效,与软件包中实现的最新科学方法相比,计算时间大幅减少。通过广泛的模拟对所提出的方法进行了评估,并将其应用于两个重要的应用中,包括一项比较原发性开角型青光眼干预措施的网络荟萃分析,以及另一项比较慢性前列腺炎和慢性盆腔疼痛综合征治疗方法的分析。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/dd17601f101e/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/4093e6f5acee/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/7c67320b6807/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/ecea87c280aa/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/514793b2238c/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/dd17601f101e/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/4093e6f5acee/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/7c67320b6807/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/ecea87c280aa/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/514793b2238c/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fad/11213057/dd17601f101e/nihpp-2024.06.19.24309163v1-f0006.jpg

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A variance shrinkage method improves arm-based Bayesian network meta-analysis.一种方差收缩方法改进了基于臂的贝叶斯网络荟萃分析。
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The impact of covariance priors on arm-based Bayesian network meta-analyses with binary outcomes.协方差先验对基于臂的二元结局贝叶斯网络荟萃分析的影响。
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