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Correcting mortality estimates among children and youth on antiretroviral therapy in southern Africa: A comparative analysis between a multi-country tracing study and linkage to a health information exchange.

作者信息

Nyakato Patience, Schomaker Michael, Boulle Andrew, Euvrard Jonathan, Wood Robin, Eley Brian, Prozesky Hans, Christ Benedikt, Anderegg Nanina, Ayakaka Irene, Rafael Idiovino, Kunzekwenyika Cordelia, Moore Carolyn B, van Lettow Monique, Chimbetete Cleophas, Mbewe Safari, Ballif Marie, Egger Matthias, Yiannoutsos Constantin T, Cornell Morna, Davies Mary-Ann

机构信息

Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.

Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.

出版信息

Trop Med Int Health. 2024 Aug;29(8):739-751. doi: 10.1111/tmi.14030. Epub 2024 Jul 4.


DOI:10.1111/tmi.14030
PMID:38961819
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11795028/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to assess the outcomes of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV reported as lost to follow-up, correct mortality estimates for children, adolescents and young adults with HIV for unascertained outcomes in those loss to follow-up (LTFU) based on tracing and linkage data separately using data from the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS in Southern Africa. METHODS: We included data from two different populations of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV; (1) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤24 years from Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe; (2) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤14 years from the Western Cape (WC) in South Africa. Outcomes of patients lost to follow-up were available from (1) a tracing study and (2) linkage to a health information exchange. For both populations, we compared six methods for correcting mortality estimates for all children, adolescents and young adults with HIV. RESULTS: We found substantial variations of mortality estimates among children, adolescents and young adults with HIV reported as lost to follow-up versus those retained in care. Ascertained mortality was higher among lost and traceable children, adolescents and young adults with HIV and lower among lost and linkable than those retained in care (mortality: 13.4% [traced] vs. 12.6% [retained-other Southern Africa countries]; 3.4% [linked] vs. 9.4% [retained-WC]). A high proportion of lost to follow-up children, adolescents and young adults with HIV had self-transferred (21.0% and 47.0%) in the traced and linked samples, respectively. The uncorrected method of non-informative censoring yielded the lowest mortality estimates among all methods for both tracing (6.0%) and linkage (4.0%) approaches at 2 years from ART start. Among corrected methods using ascertained data, multiple imputation, incorporating ascertained data (MI(asc.)) and inverse probability weighting with logistic weights were most robust for the tracing approach. In contrast, for the linkage approach, MI(asc.) was the most robust. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings emphasise that lost to follow-up is non-ignorable and both tracing and linkage improved outcome ascertainment: tracing identified substantial mortality in those reported as lost to follow-up, whereas linkage did not identify out-of-facility deaths, but showed that a large proportion of those reported as lost to follow-up were self-transfers.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2456/11795028/d4cc2f5b2854/nihms-2052004-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2456/11795028/084b07658df2/nihms-2052004-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2456/11795028/d4cc2f5b2854/nihms-2052004-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2456/11795028/084b07658df2/nihms-2052004-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2456/11795028/d4cc2f5b2854/nihms-2052004-f0002.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Correcting mortality estimates among children and youth on antiretroviral therapy in southern Africa: A comparative analysis between a multi-country tracing study and linkage to a health information exchange.

Trop Med Int Health. 2024-8

[2]
Tracing People Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Who Are Lost to Follow-up at Antiretroviral Therapy Programs in Southern Africa: A Sampling-Based Cohort Study in 6 Countries.

Clin Infect Dis. 2022-1-29

[3]
Mortality estimates by age and sex among persons living with HIV after ART initiation in Zambia using electronic medical records supplemented with tracing a sample of lost patients: A cohort study.

PLoS Med. 2020-5-13

[4]
High Unreported Mortality in Children and Youth (<25 Years) Living With HIV Who Were Lost to Care From Antiretroviral Therapy Programs in Southern Africa: Results From a Multicountry Tracing Study.

J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2022-12-15

[5]
Loss to follow-up correction increased mortality estimates in HIV-positive people on antiretroviral therapy in Mozambique.

J Clin Epidemiol. 2020-12

[6]
Global HIV mortality trends among children on antiretroviral treatment corrected for under-reported deaths: an updated analysis of the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS collaboration.

J Int AIDS Soc. 2021-9

[7]
Non-ignorable loss to follow-up: correcting mortality estimates based on additional outcome ascertainment.

Stat Med. 2014-1-15

[8]
Self-transfers, Hospital Admissions and Mortality Among Children and Adolescents Lost to Follow-up From Antiretroviral Therapy Programs in the Western Cape, South Africa Between 2004 and 2019: Linkage to Provincial Records.

Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2024-5-1

[9]
Retention and mortality on antiretroviral therapy in sub-Saharan Africa: collaborative analyses of HIV treatment programmes.

J Int AIDS Soc. 2018-2

[10]
Outcomes of HIV-positive patients lost to follow-up in African treatment programmes.

Trop Med Int Health. 2017-4

本文引用的文献

[1]
High Unreported Mortality in Children and Youth (<25 Years) Living With HIV Who Were Lost to Care From Antiretroviral Therapy Programs in Southern Africa: Results From a Multicountry Tracing Study.

J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2022-12-15

[2]
Global HIV mortality trends among children on antiretroviral treatment corrected for under-reported deaths: an updated analysis of the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS collaboration.

J Int AIDS Soc. 2021-9

[3]
Tracing People Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Who Are Lost to Follow-up at Antiretroviral Therapy Programs in Southern Africa: A Sampling-Based Cohort Study in 6 Countries.

Clin Infect Dis. 2022-1-29

[4]
Mortality Rate in a Cohort of People Living With HIV in Rural Tanzania After Accounting for Unseen Deaths Among Those Lost to Follow-up.

Am J Epidemiol. 2021-2-1

[5]
Data Centre Profile: The Provincial Health Data Centre of the Western Cape Province, South Africa.

Int J Popul Data Sci. 2019-11-20

[6]
Loss to follow-up correction increased mortality estimates in HIV-positive people on antiretroviral therapy in Mozambique.

J Clin Epidemiol. 2020-12

[7]
International epidemiology databases to evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) in sub-Saharan Africa, 2012-2019.

BMJ Open. 2020-5-15

[8]
Linkage to care, mobility and retention of HIV-positive postpartum women in antiretroviral therapy services in South Africa.

J Int AIDS Soc. 2018-7

[9]
Outcomes of Patients Lost to Follow-up in African Antiretroviral Therapy Programs: Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis.

Clin Infect Dis. 2018-11-13

[10]
Correction of estimates of retention in care among a cohort of HIV-positive patients in Uganda in the period before starting ART: a sampling-based approach.

BMJ Open. 2018-4-20

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