Bailey Martha J, Helgerman Thomas, Stuart Bryan A
University of California, Los Angeles and National Bureau of Economic Research, United States.
Q J Econ. 2024 Feb 28;139(3):1827-1878. doi: 10.1093/qje/qjae006. eCollection 2024 Aug.
In the 1960s, two landmark statutes-the Equal Pay and Civil Rights Acts-targeted the long-standing practice of employment discrimination against U.S. women. For the next 15 years, the gender gap in median earnings among full-time, full-year workers changed little, leading many scholars to conclude that the legislation was ineffectual. This article revisits this conclusion using two research designs, which leverage (i) cross-state variation in preexisting state equal pay laws and (ii) variation in the 1960 gender gap across occupation-industry-state-group cells to capture differences in the legislation's incidence. Both designs suggest that federal antidiscrimination legislation led to striking gains in women's relative wages, which were concentrated among below-median wage earners. These wage gains offset preexisting labor market forces, which worked to depress women's relative pay growth, resulting in the apparent stability of the gender gap at the median and mean in the 1960s and 1970s. The data show little evidence of short-term changes in women's employment but suggest that firms reduced their hiring and promotion of women in the medium to long term. The historical record points to the key role of the Equal Pay Act in driving these changes.
20世纪60年代,两项具有里程碑意义的法规——《同酬法》和《民权法案》——针对美国长期存在的就业歧视女性的做法。在接下来的15年里,全年全职工作的员工中位数收入的性别差距变化不大,这使得许多学者得出结论,认为该立法没有效果。本文采用两种研究设计重新审视这一结论,这两种设计利用了:(i)各州预先存在的同酬法的州际差异,以及(ii)1960年跨职业-行业-州-群体单元的性别差距差异,以捕捉该立法发生率的差异。两种设计均表明,联邦反歧视立法使女性的相对工资大幅提高,这些工资增长集中在收入中位数以下的人群中。这些工资增长抵消了先前存在的劳动力市场力量,这些力量曾压低女性的相对工资增长,导致20世纪60年代和70年代中位数和平均数的性别差距明显稳定。数据几乎没有显示女性就业有短期变化的证据,但表明企业从中长期来看减少了对女性的招聘和晋升。历史记录表明《同酬法》在推动这些变化中起到了关键作用。