Xu Hua, Zhao Yang, Zhu Chenlin, Xu Lijing, Gao Hongmei
Department of Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin First Central Hospital, Key Laboratory for Critical Care Medicine of the National Health Commission, Emergency Medicine Research Institute, Tianjin 300192, China.
The First Central Clinical College of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin 300190, China.
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2024 Jun;36(6):591-596. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20240118-00063.
To observe the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in sepsis combined with acute gastrointestinal injury (AGI) of different grades, and to further explore the risk factors associated with the poor prognosis of patients.
The clinical data of patients with septic ARDS admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Tianjin First Central Hospital from March to October 2023 were collected. According to the 2012 European Association of Critical Care Medicine AGI definition and grading criteria, the patients were categorized into AGI grade 0- IV groups. The clinical characteristics and 28-day clinical outcomes of the patients were observed; the risk factors related to the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI were analyzed by using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression; and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) and calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the predictive value of each risk factor on the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI.
A total of 92 patients with septic ARDS were enrolled, including 7 patients in the AGI 0 group, 20 patients in the AGI I group, 38 patients in the AGI II group, 23 patients in the AGI III group, and 4 patients in the AGI IV group. The incidence of AGI was 92.39%. With the increase of AGI grade, the ARDS grade increased, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), intra-abdominal pressure (IAP), white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), lymphocyte count (LYM), lymphocyte percentage (LYM%), and 28-day mortality all showed a significant increasing trend, while the oxygenation index (PaO/FiO) showed a significant decreasing trend (all P < 0.05). Pearson correlation analysis showed that APACHE II score, SOFA score, and ARDS classification were positively correlated with patients' AGI grade (Pearson correlation index was 0.386, 0.473, and 0.372, respectively, all P < 0.001), and PaO/FiO was negatively correlated with patients' AGI grade (Pearson correlation index was -0.425, P < 0.001). Among the patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI, there were 68 survivors and 17 deaths at 28 days. The differences in APACHE II score, SOFA score, ARDS grade, AGI grade, PaO/FiO, IAP, AGI 7-day worst value, length of ICU stay, and total length of hospital stay between the survival and death groups were statistically significant. Univariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.350, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.071-1.702, P = 0.011], PaO/FiO (OR = 0.964, 95%CI was 0.933-0.996, P = 0.027) and AGI 7-day worst value (OR = 2.103, 95%CI was 1.194-3.702, P = 0.010) were the risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score (OR = 1.384, 95%CI was 1.153-1.661, P < 0.001), PaO/FiO (OR = 0.983, 95%CI was 0.968-0.999, P = 0.035) and AGI 7-day worst value (OR = 1.992, 95%CI was 1.141-3.478, P = 0.015) were the independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. ROC curve analysis showed that SOFA score, PaO/FiO and AGI 7-day worst value had predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.824 (95%CI was 0.697-0.950), 0.760 (95%CI was 0.642-0.877) and 0.721 (95%CI was 0.586-0.857), respectively, all P < 0.01; when the best cut-off values of the above metrics were 5.50 points, 163.45 mmHg (1 mmHg≈0.133 kPa), and 2.50 grade, the sensitivities were 94.1%, 94.1%, 31.9%, respectively, and the specificities were 80.9%, 67.6%, 88.2%, respectively.
The incidence of AGI in patients with septic ARDS is about 90%, and the higher the AGI grade, the worse the prognosis of the patients. SOFA score, PaO/FiO and AGI 7-day worst value have a certain predictive value for the prognosis of patients with septic ARDS combined with AGI, among which, the larger the SOFA score and AGI 7-day worst value, and the smaller the PaO/FiO, the higher the patients' mortality.
观察脓毒症合并不同级别急性胃肠损伤(AGI)的急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)患者的临床特征及预后,进一步探讨患者预后不良的相关危险因素。
收集2023年3月至10月天津市第一中心医院重症监护病房(ICU)收治的脓毒症相关性ARDS患者的临床资料。根据2012年欧洲危重病医学会AGI定义及分级标准,将患者分为AGI 0 - IV组。观察患者的临床特征及28天临床结局;采用单因素及多因素Logistic回归分析脓毒症相关性ARDS合并AGI患者预后的相关危险因素;绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)及校准曲线,评估各危险因素对脓毒症相关性ARDS合并AGI患者预后的预测价值。
共纳入92例脓毒症相关性ARDS患者,其中AGI 0组7例,AGI I组20例,AGI II组38例,AGI III组23例,AGI IV组4例。AGI发生率为92.39%。随着AGI分级增加,ARDS分级升高,急性生理与慢性健康状况评分II(APACHE II)、序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)、腹内压(IAP)、白细胞计数(WBC)、中性粒细胞计数(NEU)、淋巴细胞计数(LYM)、淋巴细胞百分比(LYM%)及28天死亡率均呈显著上升趋势,而氧合指数(PaO₂/FiO₂)呈显著下降趋势(均P < 0.05)。Pearson相关性分析显示,APACHE II评分、SOFA评分及ARDS分级与患者AGI分级呈正相关(Pearson相关系数分别为0.386、0.473及0.372,均P < 0.001),PaO₂/FiO₂与患者AGI分级呈负相关(Pearson相关系数为 - 0.425,P < 0.001)。脓毒症相关性ARDS合并AGI患者中,28天存活68例,死亡17例。存活组与死亡组在APACHE II评分、SOFA评分、ARDS分级、AGI分级、PaO₂/FiO₂、IAP、AGI 7天最差值、ICU住院时间及总住院时间方面差异有统计学意义。单因素Logistic回归分析显示,SOFA评分[比值比(OR) = 1.350,95%置信区间(95%CI)为1.071 - 1.702,P = 0.011]、PaO₂/FiO₂(OR = 0.964,95%CI为0.933 - 0.996,P = 0.027)及AGI 7天最差值(OR = 2.103,95%CI为1.194 - 3.702,P = 0.010)是脓毒症相关性ARDS合并AGI患者28天死亡的危险因素。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,SOFA评分(OR = 1.384,95%CI为1.153 - 1.661,P < 0.001)、PaO₂/FiO₂(OR = 0.983,95%CI为0.968 - 0.999,P = 0.035)及AGI 7天最差值(OR = 1.992,95%CI为1.141 - 3.478,P = 0.015)是脓毒症相关性ARDS合并AGI患者28天死亡的独立危险因素。ROC曲线分析显示,SOFA评分、PaO₂/FiO₂及AGI 7天最差值对脓毒症相关性ARDS合并AGI患者28天预后有预测价值。ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.824(95%CI为0.697 - 0.950)、0.760(95%CI为0.642 - 0.877)及0.721(95%CI为0.586 - 0.857),均P < 0.01;上述指标的最佳截断值分别为5.50分、163.45 mmHg(1 mmHg≈0.13 kPa)及2.50级时,敏感度分别为94.1%、94.1%、31.9%,特异度分别为80.9%、67.6%、88.2%。
脓毒症相关性ARDS患者AGI发生率约为90%,AGI分级越高,患者预后越差。SOFA评分、PaO₂/FiO₂及AGI 7天最差值对脓毒症相关性ARDS合并AGI患者预后有一定预测价值,其中SOFA评分及AGI 7天最差值越大,PaO₂/FiO₂越小,患者死亡率越高。