Time to Total Knee Arthroplasty (TKA) Post Intra-Articular Injection.

Disease-modifying treatments are not currently developed to target the underlying causes of knee osteoarthritis (KOA). Corticosteroids (CS), hyaluronic acid (HA), and platelet-rich plasma (PRP) intra-articular (IA) injections are commonly used for patients that do not respond to non-pharmacological treatments, oral nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory, or pain medications to address solely KOA symptoms. Utilizing TKA as an endpoint in the KOA disease progression provides a basis to determine efficacy of this treatment pathway. The primary objective is to evaluate a large national database to determine the time between first injection and total knee arthroplasty in patients solely administered intra-articular IA, CS, and HA. A retrospective query was performed on a national, all-payer claims database (PearlDiver, Colorado Springs, CO, USA), a composite of over 160 million Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act compliant orthopedic records across all states and territories of the United States spanning 2016 to 2022. The database was queried to produce three distinct cohorts for analysis (PRP, HA, and CS). A 4:1 case match was conducted to compare cohorts receiving a subsequent TKA. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis analyzed the TKA-free survival of patients within each group at 6 months and 1 to 4 years. The log-rank test was performed for comparisons between survival cohorts. The PRP cohort had a total population of 3240 patients, of which 71 (2.2%) received a subsequent TKA. The corticosteroid cohort had a total population of 1,382,572, of which 81,271 (5.9%) received a subsequent TKA. The HA cohort had a total population of 164,000, of which 13,044 (8.0%) received a subsequent TKA. Due to the low population within the PRP group, this group was excluded from comparison. The mean time to TKA from first injection in the HA group was 377.8 days, while in the corticosteroid group it was 370.0 days. The proportions of TKA-free survival for CS and HA when compared at 4 years post-injection was similar between groups ( = 0.05). Patients that received only IA-corticosteroids or IA-hyaluronic acid had a similar length of time between the first injection and the total knee arthroplasty associated with the injected joint. This evidence provides information for clinicians and patients alike when contemplating these non-surgical injection modalities for KOA. The similarity observed between these treatments supports the need for future research to determine whether there is any potential for reduction in healthcare costs for KOA treatment prior to TKA.