Department of Cardiology, Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Sahlgrenska University Hospital Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Bruna stråket 16, Gothenburg, 41345, Sweden.
Department of Cardiology, Umeå University Hospital, Umeå, Sweden.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord. 2024 Jul 15;24(1):359. doi: 10.1186/s12872-024-04023-6.
Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is an acute heart failure syndrome with symptoms similar to acute myocardial infarction. TTS is often triggered by acute emotional or physical stress and is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Predictors of mortality in patients with TS are not well understood, and there is a need to identify high-risk patients and tailor treatment accordingly. This study aimed to assess the importance of various clinical factors in predicting 30-day mortality in TTS patients using a machine learning algorithm.
We analyzed data from the nationwide Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry (SCAAR) for all patients with TTS in Sweden between 2015 and 2022. Gradient boosting was used to assess the relative importance of variables in predicting 30-day mortality in TTS patients.
Of 3,180 patients hospitalized with TTS, 76.0% were women. The median age was 71.0 years (interquartile range 62-77). The crude all-cause mortality rate was 3.2% at 30 days. Machine learning algorithms by gradient boosting identified treating hospitals as the most important predictor of 30-day mortality. This factor was followed in significance by the clinical indication for angiography, creatinine level, Killip class, and age. Other less important factors included weight, height, and certain medical conditions such as hyperlipidemia and smoking status.
Using machine learning with gradient boosting, we analyzed all Swedish patients diagnosed with TTS over seven years and found that the treating hospital was the most significant predictor of 30-day mortality.
心尖球囊样综合征(TTS)是一种类似于急性心肌梗死的急性心力衰竭综合征。TTS 通常由急性情绪或身体应激引发,是发病率和死亡率的重要原因。TTS 患者的死亡预测因素尚不清楚,需要识别高危患者并相应调整治疗。本研究旨在使用机器学习算法评估各种临床因素在预测 TTS 患者 30 天死亡率中的重要性。
我们分析了 2015 年至 2022 年期间瑞典全国冠状动脉造影和血管成形术登记处(SCAAR)中所有 TTS 患者的数据。梯度提升用于评估预测 TTS 患者 30 天死亡率的变量的相对重要性。
在因 TTS 住院的 3180 名患者中,76.0%为女性。中位年龄为 71.0 岁(四分位距 62-77)。30 天全因死亡率为 3.2%。梯度提升的机器学习算法确定治疗医院是 30 天死亡率的最重要预测因素。该因素的重要性仅次于血管造影的临床指征、肌酐水平、Killip 分级和年龄。其他不太重要的因素包括体重、身高和某些医疗状况,如高血脂和吸烟状况。
使用梯度提升的机器学习,我们分析了 7 年来所有被诊断为 TTS 的瑞典患者,发现治疗医院是 30 天死亡率的最显著预测因素。