Mullan Katrina, Avery Teigan, Boise Patrick, Leary Cindy S, Rice William L, Semmens Erin O
Department of Economics, University of Montana.
Rural Institute, University of Montana.
Ecol Econ. 2024 Oct;224. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108285. Epub 2024 Jun 22.
A significant cost of wildfires is the exposure of local and regional populations to air pollution from smoke, which can travel hundreds of miles from the source fire and is associated with significant negative health consequences. Wildfires are increasing in frequency and intensity in the United States, driven by historic fire management approaches and global climate change. These influences will take many decades or longer to reverse, so the main opportunities for mitigating health effects involve minimizing human exposure through changes in behavior or infrastructure. One key recommendation for reducing pollution exposures during wildfire smoke events is to limit time and physical activity outdoors, but there is limited evidence on the extent to which people make this change. We estimate how use of parks and playgrounds changes with air quality during wildfire season in the northwest United States. We find small reductions in park and playground visits on moderately polluted days, and large reductions, to 50-60% of baseline visits, when pollution levels are high. Disaggregating results by neighborhood characteristics, we find a significantly greater behavioral response to moderate levels of air pollution in neighborhoods with higher socio-economic status, although responses to high levels of pollution are similar across neighborhood types.
野火造成的一项重大代价是当地和区域居民暴露于烟雾中的空气污染,烟雾可从起火源传播数百英里,且会带来严重的负面健康后果。在美国,受历史悠久的火灾管理方式和全球气候变化影响,野火发生的频率和强度都在增加。这些影响需要数十年甚至更长时间才能扭转,因此减轻健康影响的主要机会在于通过行为或基础设施的改变来尽量减少人类暴露。减少野火烟雾事件期间污染暴露的一项关键建议是限制户外活动的时间和体力活动,但关于人们做出这种改变的程度的证据有限。我们估计了美国西北部野火季节公园和游乐场的使用情况随空气质量的变化。我们发现,在中度污染的日子里,公园和游乐场的访客数量略有减少,而在污染水平较高时,访客数量大幅减少,降至基线访客量的50%-60%。按社区特征对结果进行分类时,我们发现社会经济地位较高的社区对中度空气污染水平的行为反应明显更大,不过不同社区类型对高污染水平的反应相似。