Dülgeroğlu Turan Cihan, Kurt Mehmet, Üzümcigil Alaaddin Oktar, Yilmaz Selçuk, Alkan Sevil, Karaaslan Fatih
Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Faculty of Medicine, Kütahya Health Science University, 43020 Kütahya, Turkey.
Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University, 1700 Çanakkale, Turkey.
Exp Ther Med. 2024 Jun 26;28(2):335. doi: 10.3892/etm.2024.12624. eCollection 2024 Aug.
The present retrospective study aimed to investigate the value of blood parameters in predicting mortality in patients with below-knee amputation (BKA). A total of 178 patients with BKA were included in the present study. The patients were divided into two groups, namely the exitus group (n=136; 76.4%) and the survivors group (n=42; 23.6%). Patients in the exitus group were further divided into three subgroups: i) Those who experienced mortality in <1 month (n=55; 40.4%); ii) those who experienced mortality between 1-12 months (n=48; 35.3%); and iii) those who experienced mortality in >12 months after surgery (n=33; 24.3%). Binary logistic regression and a generalized linear model were used for relational analysis, and a receiver operator characteristic curve was used for diagnostic tests. It was found that the parameters of age (B=0.061; P=0.01), eosinophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (ELR) (B=-2.861; P<0.05), C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin ratio (B=0.027; P<0.01) and mean platelet volume (MPV)/lymphocyte ratio (B=0.310; P<0.01) had a significant effect on mortality at the multivariate level. Moreover, regression coefficients showed that the effect of age, CRP/albumin and MPV/lymphocyte ratios on mortality were positive, whereas the effect of the ELR was negative. The mortality predictive values of age [area under the curve (AUC)=0.681; P=0.01], ELR (AUC=0.630; P=0.01), CRP/albumin ratio (AUC=0.746; P=0.01) and MPV/lymphocyte ratio (AUC=0.676; P<0.01) were also found to be statistically significant. For the 27.51 CRP/albumin cut-off value, the sensitivity was found to be 80.1%, whereas the specificity was 54.8%. For the 36.93 CRP/albumin cut-off value, the sensitivity was 71.3%, and the specificity was 73.8%. Furthermore, MPV (B=-0.37; P<0.01) and hemoglobin/red-blood-cell distribution width (RDW) ratio (B=5.20; P<0.01) were found to have a significant effect on the time to death at the multivariate level. The parameters MPV (AUC=0.648; P<0.01) and hemoglobin/RDW (AUC=0.673; P=0.01) had predictive value in terms of the time to death. The predictive value for MPV was found to be 64.8%, whereas that for the hemoglobin/RDW ratio was 67.3%. For the 0.54 cut-off value for hemoglobin/RDW, the sensitivity was 74.5%, and the specificity was 11.1%. By contrast, for the 0.84 cut-off value for the hemoglobin/RDW ratio, the sensitivity was 10.9% and the specificity was 81.5%. In conclusion, the CRP/albumin ratio was identified as a significant mortality parameter, whereas the hemoglobin/RDW ratio was a significant time to death predictor, according to the results of the present analysis. These results may guide clinical practices and further research in terms of predicting mortality in patients with BKA.
本回顾性研究旨在探讨血液参数对预测膝下截肢(BKA)患者死亡率的价值。本研究共纳入178例BKA患者。患者被分为两组,即死亡组(n = 136;76.4%)和存活组(n = 42;23.6%)。死亡组患者进一步分为三个亚组:i)术后<1个月内死亡者(n = 55;40.4%);ii)术后1 - 12个月内死亡者(n = 48;35.3%);iii)术后>12个月死亡者(n = 33;24.3%)。采用二元逻辑回归和广义线性模型进行相关性分析,并采用受试者工作特征曲线进行诊断试验。结果发现,年龄参数(B = 0.061;P = 0.01)、嗜酸性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(ELR)(B = -2.861;P < 0.05)、C反应蛋白(CRP)/白蛋白比值(B = 0.027;P < 0.01)和平均血小板体积(MPV)/淋巴细胞比值(B = 0.310;P < 0.01)在多变量水平上对死亡率有显著影响。此外,回归系数显示,年龄、CRP/白蛋白和MPV/淋巴细胞比值对死亡率的影响为正,而ELR的影响为负。年龄[曲线下面积(AUC)= 0.681;P = 0.01]、ELR(AUC = 0.630;P = 0.01)、CRP/白蛋白比值(AUC = 0.746;P = 0.01)和MPV/淋巴细胞比值(AUC = 0.676;P < 0.01)的死亡率预测值也具有统计学意义。对于CRP/白蛋白临界值27.51,敏感性为80.1%,特异性为54.8%。对于CRP/白蛋白临界值36.93,敏感性为71.3%,特异性为73.8%。此外,发现MPV(B = -0.37;P < 0.01)和血红蛋白/红细胞分布宽度(RDW)比值(B = 5.20;P < 0.01)在多变量水平上对死亡时间有显著影响。MPV参数(AUC = 0.648;P < 0.01)和血红蛋白/RDW(AUC = 0.673;P = 0.01)对死亡时间具有预测价值。MPV的预测价值为64.8%,而血红蛋白/RDW比值的预测价值为67.3%。对于血红蛋白/RDW临界值0.54,敏感性为74.5%,特异性为11.1%。相比之下,对于血红蛋白/RDW比值临界值0.84,敏感性为10.9%,特异性为81.5%。总之,根据本分析结果,CRP/白蛋白比值被确定为一个重要的死亡率参数,而血红蛋白/RDW比值是一个重要的死亡时间预测指标。这些结果可能为预测BKA患者死亡率的临床实践和进一步研究提供指导。