Bunyavejchewin Poowin, Buddharaksa Watcharabon
Department of Political Science and Public Administration, Faculty of Social Sciences, Naresuan University, Phitsanulok, 65000, Thailand.
Heliyon. 2024 Jun 21;10(12):e33366. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e33366. eCollection 2024 Jun 30.
The Thai government, under the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO), led by General Prayut Chan-o-cha, was heavily criticized for bandwagoning with China, totally accommodating Chinese demands. However, this study argues that the criticism is unconvincing. By examining three instances of Thailand's China policy between 2014 and 2019 using Kuik's hedging theory, it is found that the NCPO government had concurrently maneuvered limited bandwagoning and dominance-denial policies. These maneuvers were shaped by domestic factors, especially regime legitimacy. Consequently, this article concludes that Thailand's China policy under the NCPO is more accurately deemed hedging behavior.
由巴育·占奥差将军领导的泰国全国维持和平秩序委员会（NCPO）治下的泰国政府，因追随中国、完全迎合中国要求而受到严厉批评。然而，本研究认为这种批评并不令人信服。通过运用奎克的对冲理论审视2014年至2019年期间泰国对华政策的三个实例，发现NCPO政府同时采取了有限的追随和拒绝主导政策。这些策略受到国内因素的影响，尤其是政权合法性。因此，本文得出结论，NCPO治下的泰国对华政策更准确地应被视为对冲行为。
