Li Yimiao, Guo Mingjia, Jiang Jie, Dai Renlong, Rebi Ansa, Shi Zixuan, Mao Aoping, Zheng Jingming, Zhou Jinxing
School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China.
School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China.
Biology (Basel). 2024 Jun 27;13(7):480. doi: 10.3390/biology13070480.
is the exclusive intermediary host of in China. The alteration of habitat and population distribution directly affects the safety of millions of individuals residing in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and the ecological stability of Yangtze River Basin. Therefore, it is crucial to analyze the influence of climate change on the distribution of in order to achieve accurate control over its population. This study utilized the MaxEnt model to forecast possible snail habitats by utilizing snail distribution data obtained from historical literature. The following outcomes were achieved: The primary ecological factors influencing the distribution of are elevation, minimum temperature of the coldest month, and precipitation of wettest month. Furthermore, future climate scenarios indicate a decrease in the distribution area and a northward shift of the distribution center for ; specifically, those in the upstream will move northeast, while those in the midstream and downstream will move northwest. These changes in suitable habitat area, the average migration distance of distribution centers across different climate scenarios, time periods, and sub-basins within the YREB, result in uncertainty. This study offers theoretical justification for the prevention and control of along the YREB.
在中国是……的唯一中间宿主。……栖息地和种群分布的改变直接影响着长江经济带数百万居民的安全以及长江流域的生态稳定。因此，分析气候变化对……分布的影响对于精准控制其种群数量至关重要。本研究利用MaxEnt模型，通过历史文献获取的钉螺分布数据预测可能的钉螺栖息地。取得了以下结果：影响钉螺分布的主要生态因素是海拔、最冷月最低温度和最湿月降水量。此外，未来气候情景表明钉螺的分布面积将减少，分布中心向北移动；具体而言，上游的钉螺将向东北移动，而中下游的钉螺将向西北移动。长江经济带内不同气候情景、时间段和子流域的适宜栖息地面积变化、分布中心的平均迁移距离导致了不确定性。本研究为长江经济带钉螺的防控提供了理论依据。
原文中部分关键信息缺失，用“……”代替，翻译时保留了这种不完整状态。
