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墨西哥和哥伦比亚地区日降水量与极端日气温之间的统计相关性

Statistical Interdependence between Daily Precipitation and Extreme Daily Temperature in Regions of Mexico and Colombia.

作者信息

Zabaleta-Ortega Álvaro, Mercado-Fernández Teobaldis, Reyes-Ramírez Israel, Angulo-Brown Fernando, Guzmán-Vargas Lev

机构信息

Unidad Profesional Interdisciplinaria en Ingeniería y Tecnologías Avanzadas, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Ciudad de México 07340, Mexico.

Facultad de Ciencias Agrícolas, Universidad de Córdoba, Cra. 6 #77-305, Montería 230002, Colombia.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2024 Jun 29;26(7):558. doi: 10.3390/e26070558.

DOI:10.3390/e26070558
PMID:39056920
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11276309/
Abstract

We study the statistical interdependence between daily precipitation and daily extreme temperature for regions of Mexico (14 climatic stations, period 1960-2020) and Colombia (7 climatic stations, period 1973-2020) using linear (cross-correlation and coherence) and nonlinear (global phase synchronization index, mutual information, and cross-sample entropy) synchronization metrics. The information shared between these variables is relevant and exhibits changes when comparing regions with different climatic conditions. We show that precipitation and temperature records from La Mojana are characterized by high persistence, while data from Mexico City exhibit lower persistence (less memory). We find that the information exchange and the level of coupling between the precipitation and temperature are higher for the case of the La Mojana region (Colombia) compared to Mexico City (Mexico), revealing that regions where seasonal changes are almost null and with low temperature gradients (less local variability) tend to display higher synchrony compared to regions where seasonal changes are very pronounced. The interdependence characterization between precipitation and temperature represents a robust option to characterize and analyze the collective dynamics of the system, applicable in climate change studies, as well as in changes not easily identifiable in future scenarios.

摘要

我们使用线性(互相关和相干性)和非线性(全局相位同步指数、互信息和交叉样本熵)同步指标,研究了墨西哥地区(14个气候站,1960 - 2020年期间)和哥伦比亚地区(7个气候站,1973 - 2020年期间)日降水量与日极端温度之间的统计相互依赖性。这些变量之间共享的信息是相关的,并且在比较具有不同气候条件的地区时会呈现出变化。我们表明,拉莫哈纳地区的降水和温度记录具有高度持续性,而墨西哥城的数据持续性较低(记忆性较差)。我们发现,与墨西哥城(墨西哥)相比,拉莫哈纳地区(哥伦比亚)降水与温度之间的信息交换和耦合程度更高,这表明与季节性变化非常明显的地区相比,季节性变化几乎为零且温度梯度较小(局部变异性较小)的地区往往表现出更高的同步性。降水与温度之间的相互依赖性特征是表征和分析系统集体动力学的一个有力选项,适用于气候变化研究以及未来情景中不易识别的变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/bf227180d094/entropy-26-00558-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/6f6a81a03815/entropy-26-00558-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/781bb0d5ac03/entropy-26-00558-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/a815e5b1db2a/entropy-26-00558-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/bf227180d094/entropy-26-00558-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/6f6a81a03815/entropy-26-00558-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/781bb0d5ac03/entropy-26-00558-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/a815e5b1db2a/entropy-26-00558-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce89/11276309/bf227180d094/entropy-26-00558-g004.jpg

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