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一项多成分社区层面干预措施对减少单车夜间撞车事故的长期影响:来自一项24社区随机试验的随访结果

Long-Term Effects of a Multi-Component Community-Level Intervention to Reduce Single-Vehicle Nighttime Crashes: Follow-Up Findings From a 24-Community Randomized Trial.

作者信息

Saltz Robert, Paschall Mallie J

机构信息

Prevention Research Center, Pacific Institute for Research & Evaluation, Berkeley, California.

出版信息

J Stud Alcohol Drugs. 2025 Jan;86(1):136-139. doi: 10.15288/jsad.24-00103. Epub 2024 Aug 6.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This follow-up study examines whether a multi-component, high-visibility alcohol enforcement intervention implemented in 12 California cities had long-term effects on alcohol-related motor vehicle crashes beyond the period of the original study. Previous results indicated a significant reduction in single-vehicle night-time (SVN) crashes among 15- to 30-year-olds in intervention cities relative to controls.

METHOD

A randomized trial was conducted with 24 randomly chosen California cities from 2012 to 2017 to evaluate a multi-component intervention to reduce excessive drinking and driving while impaired among adolescents and young adults. Twelve of the cities were randomly assigned to the intervention condition and implemented high-visibility alcohol enforcement operations and other components from April 2013 to March 2016. Multi-level negative binomial regression analyses were conducted with motor vehicle crash data from 2010 to 2021 to examine whether SVN crashes among 15- to 30-year-olds decreased in intervention cities relative to controls after the multi-component intervention was implemented. Analyses controlled for community sociodemographic characteristics, the overall time trend, the COVID pandemic, and pre-intervention levels of SVN crashes and adjusted for correlation of repeated observations within cities over time.

RESULTS

Regression analyses indicated a significantly lower level of monthly SVN crashes among 15- to 30-year-olds in intervention cities during post-intervention months through 2021 relative to control cities (incidence rate ratio [95% CI] = 0.88 [0.79, 0.98], < .05) when controlling for community sociodemographic characteristics, the overall time trend, COVID, and pre-intervention levels of SVN crashes.

CONCLUSIONS

Study findings suggest that a multi-component, high-visibility alcohol enforcement intervention can have long-term effects on alcohol-related motor vehicle crashes and related injuries and fatalities among adolescent and young adult drivers.

摘要

目的

本随访研究旨在探讨在加利福尼亚州12个城市实施的多成分、高可见度酒精执法干预措施,在原研究期之后对与酒精相关的机动车碰撞事故是否具有长期影响。先前的结果表明,与对照组相比,干预城市中15至30岁人群的单车夜间(SVN)碰撞事故显著减少。

方法

2012年至2017年,在加利福尼亚州随机选取24个城市进行了一项随机试验,以评估一项多成分干预措施,该措施旨在减少青少年和年轻人饮酒过量及酒后驾车行为。其中12个城市被随机分配到干预组,并在2013年4月至2016年3月期间实施了高可见度酒精执法行动及其他措施。利用2010年至2021年的机动车碰撞事故数据进行多层次负二项回归分析,以检验在实施多成分干预措施后,干预城市中15至30岁人群的SVN碰撞事故相对于对照组是否减少。分析控制了社区社会人口学特征、总体时间趋势、新冠疫情以及干预前SVN碰撞事故水平,并对城市内随时间重复观测的相关性进行了调整。

结果

回归分析表明,在控制社区社会人口学特征、总体时间趋势、新冠疫情以及干预前SVN碰撞事故水平后,与对照城市相比,干预城市中15至30岁人群在干预后至2021年期间的每月SVN碰撞事故水平显著降低(发病率比[95%置信区间]=0.88[0.79,0.98],P<0.05)。

结论

研究结果表明,多成分、高可见度酒精执法干预措施可对青少年和年轻成人驾驶员中与酒精相关的机动车碰撞事故及相关伤害和死亡产生长期影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4a0b/11822762/0673ea9a73ed/jsad.24-00103fig1.jpg

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