Goss Cynthia W, Van Bramer Lisa D, Gliner Jeffrey A, Porter Todd R, Roberts Ian G, Diguiseppi Carolyn
Colorado Injury Control Research Center, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado Denver, 4200 E 9th Avenue, Box C245, Denver, CO 80262, USA.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2008 Oct 8(4):CD005242. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD005242.pub2.
Road traffic injuries cause 1.2 million deaths worldwide each year. Alcohol consumption increases the risk of traffic crashes, especially fatal crashes. Increased police patrols aim to increase both the perceived and actual likelihood of being caught driving while alcohol-impaired, potentially reducing alcohol-related driving, crashes and injuries.
To assess the effects on injuries and crashes of increased police patrols that target alcohol-impaired driving.
We searched the Cochrane Injuries Group Specialised Register (5/2006), CENTRAL (The Cochrane Library 2006, Issue 2), MEDLINE (1966 to 5/2006), TRANSPORT (1968 to 5/2006), C2-SPECTR (2/2005), NCJRS (1/1951 to 5/2006), PsycINFO (1872 to 5/2006), Social Science Citation Index (1974 to 5/2006), SIGLE (1980 to 2/2006), Science Citation Index Expanded (1970 to 5/2006), Dissertation Abstracts (1870 to 5/2006), NTIS (1964 to 12/2004), conference proceedings, and reference lists. We contacted authors of eligible studies.
Randomized controlled trials, controlled trials, controlled before and after studies, interrupted time series (ITS) studies, and controlled ITS studies evaluating increased police patrols, either alone or combined with other interventions, targeting alcohol-impaired motor vehicle drivers.
Two investigators independently screened citations, extracted data, and assessed quality criteria. We compared intervention and no-intervention geographical areas or time periods. We re-analyzed study data as required. Results are presented narratively.
The 32 eligible studies included one randomized controlled trial, eight controlled before-after studies, 14 controlled ITS studies, six ITS studies, and three studies with both ITS and controlled before-after analyses. Most interventions targeted only alcohol-impaired driving (69%) and included additional interventions such as media campaigns or special training for police officers (91%). Only two studies reported sufficient information to assess study quality completely. Two-thirds of studies were scored 'not adequate' on at least one feature. Five of six studies evaluating traffic fatalities reported reductions with the intervention, but differences were statistically significant in only one study. Effects of intervention on traffic injuries were inconsistent in the six studies evaluating this outcome, and no results were statistically significant. All four controlled studies evaluating fatal crashes reported reductions with the intervention, which were statistically significant in one study. All 12 controlled studies assessing injury crashes reported greater reductions with the intervention, though effects were minimal or not significant in several studies. ITS studies showed less consistent effects on fatal crashes (three studies) and injury crashes (four studies), and effect estimates were typically imprecise. Thirteen of 20 studies showed reductions in total crashes and about two-thirds of these were statistically significant.
AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Studies examining increased police patrol programs were generally consistent in reporting beneficial effects on traffic crashes and fatalities, but study quality and reporting were often poor. Methodological limitations included inadequate sample size, dissimilar baseline measures, contamination, and inadequate data analysis. Thus existing evidence, although supportive, does not firmly establish whether increased police patrols, implemented with or without other intervention elements, reduce the adverse consequences of alcohol-impaired driving.
道路交通事故每年在全球造成120万人死亡。饮酒会增加交通事故风险,尤其是致命事故。加强警察巡逻旨在提高人们对酒后驾车被抓的认知度以及实际被抓的可能性,从而有可能减少与酒精相关的驾驶行为、撞车事故和伤亡。
评估针对酒后驾车加强警察巡逻对伤亡和撞车事故的影响。
我们检索了Cochrane伤害组专业注册库(2006年5月)、CENTRAL(Cochrane图书馆2006年第2期)、MEDLINE(1966年至2006年5月)、TRANSPORT(1968年至2006年5月)、C2-SPECTR(2005年2月)、NCJRS(1951年1月至2006年5月)、PsycINFO(1872年至2006年5月)、社会科学引文索引(1974年至2006年5月)、SIGLE(1980年至2006年2月)、科学引文索引扩展版(1970年至2006年5月)、学位论文摘要(1870年至2006年5月)、NTIS(1964年至2004年12月)、会议论文集以及参考文献列表。我们还联系了符合条件的研究的作者。
随机对照试验、对照试验、前后对照研究、中断时间序列(ITS)研究以及对照ITS研究,评估单独或与其他干预措施相结合针对酒后驾车机动车驾驶员加强警察巡逻的效果。
两名研究人员独立筛选引文、提取数据并评估质量标准。我们比较了干预地区和非干预地区或时间段。我们根据需要重新分析研究数据。结果以叙述形式呈现。
32项符合条件的研究包括1项随机对照试验、8项前后对照研究、14项对照ITS研究、6项ITS研究以及3项同时进行ITS和前后对照分析的研究。大多数干预措施仅针对酒后驾车(69%),并包括其他干预措施,如媒体宣传活动或对警察的专门培训(91%)。只有两项研究报告了足够的信息以完全评估研究质量。三分之二的研究在至少一个特征上被评为“不充分”。评估交通死亡人数的六项研究中有五项报告干预措施使死亡人数减少,但只有一项研究中的差异具有统计学意义。在评估这一结果的六项研究中,干预措施对交通伤害的影响不一致,且没有结果具有统计学意义。评估致命撞车事故的四项对照研究均报告干预措施使事故减少,其中一项研究中的减少具有统计学意义。评估伤害性撞车事故的12项对照研究均报告干预措施使事故减少幅度更大,尽管在几项研究中影响很小或不显著。ITS研究对致命撞车事故(三项研究)和伤害性撞车事故(四项研究)的影响不太一致,且效应估计通常不精确。20项研究中有13项显示总撞车事故减少,其中约三分之二具有统计学意义。
研究加强警察巡逻计划显示,在报告对交通撞车事故和死亡人数的有益影响方面总体一致,但研究质量和报告情况往往较差。方法学上的局限性包括样本量不足、基线测量不一致、污染以及数据分析不充分。因此,现有证据虽然具有支持性,但并未确凿证实加强警察巡逻(无论是否与其他干预因素一起实施)是否能减少酒后驾车的不良后果。