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性别特异性预后模型揭示了男女蛛网膜下腔出血患者之间的差异。

Gender-specific prognosis models reveal differences in subarachnoid hemorrhage patients between sexes.

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Zhejiang, China.

Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

CNS Neurosci Ther. 2024 Aug;30(8):e14894. doi: 10.1111/cns.14894.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) represents a severe stroke subtype. Our study aims to develop gender-specific prognostic prediction models derived from distinct prognostic factors observed among different-gender patients.

METHODS

Inclusion comprised SAH-diagnosed patients from January 2014 to March 2016 in our institution. Collected data encompassed patients' demographics, admission severity, treatments, imaging findings, and complications. Three-month post-discharge prognoses were obtained via follow-ups. Analyses assessed gender-based differences in patient information. Key factors underwent subgroup analysis, followed by univariate and multivariate analyses to identify gender-specific prognostic factors and establish/validate gender-specific prognostic models.

RESULTS

A total of 929 patients, with a median age of 57 (16) years, were analyzed; 372 (40%) were male, and 557 (60%) were female. Differences in age, smoking history, hypertension, aneurysm presence, and treatment interventions existed between genders (p < 0.01), yet no disparity in prognosis was noted. Subgroup analysis explored hypertension history, aneurysm presence, and treatment impact, revealing gender-specific variations in these factors' influence on the disease. Screening identified independent prognostic factors: age, SEBES score, admission GCS score, and complications for males; and age, admission GCS score, intraventricular hemorrhage, treatment interventions, symptomatic vasospasm, hydrocephalus, delayed cerebral ischemia, and seizures for females. Evaluation and validation of gender-specific models yielded an AUC of 0.916 (95% CI: 0.878-0.954) for males and 0.914 (95% CI: 0.885-0.944) for females in the ROC curve. Gender-specific prognostic models didn't significantly differ from the overall population-based model (model 3) but exhibited robust discriminative ability and clinical utility.

CONCLUSION

Variations in baseline and treatment-related factors among genders contribute partly to gender-based prognosis differences. Independent prognostic factors vary by gender. Gender-specific prognostic models exhibit favorable prognostic performance.

摘要

背景

蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)是一种严重的中风亚型。我们的研究旨在从不同性别患者中观察到的不同预后因素中建立性别特异性预后预测模型。

方法

纳入了我院 2014 年 1 月至 2016 年 3 月期间诊断为 SAH 的患者。收集的数据包括患者的人口统计学、入院严重程度、治疗、影像学发现和并发症。通过随访获得出院后 3 个月的预后。分析评估了患者信息中基于性别的差异。对关键因素进行亚组分析,然后进行单变量和多变量分析,以确定性别特异性预后因素,并建立/验证性别特异性预后模型。

结果

共分析了 929 例患者,中位年龄为 57(16)岁,其中 372 例(40%)为男性,557 例(60%)为女性。性别间在年龄、吸烟史、高血压、动脉瘤存在和治疗干预方面存在差异(p<0.01),但预后无差异。亚组分析探讨了高血压病史、动脉瘤存在和治疗影响,揭示了这些因素对疾病影响的性别特异性差异。筛选出独立的预后因素:男性为年龄、SEBES 评分、入院 GCS 评分和并发症;女性为年龄、入院 GCS 评分、脑室内出血、治疗干预、症状性血管痉挛、脑积水、迟发性脑缺血和癫痫。对性别特异性模型的评估和验证在 ROC 曲线中得出男性的 AUC 为 0.916(95%CI:0.878-0.954),女性的 AUC 为 0.914(95%CI:0.885-0.944)。性别特异性预后模型与基于总体人群的模型(模型 3)没有显著差异,但表现出良好的区分能力和临床实用性。

结论

性别间基线和治疗相关因素的差异部分导致了基于性别的预后差异。独立的预后因素因性别而异。性别特异性预后模型具有良好的预后性能。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c1be/11303446/4166dd850089/CNS-30-e14894-g003.jpg

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