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产业结构变化中的空间失衡是否正在扩大共同财富差距?

Are spatial imbalances in industrial structural change widening the common wealth gap?

作者信息

Tian Xinbao, Liu Xiaomin

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, 030006, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Jul 9;10(14):e34417. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e34417. eCollection 2024 Jul 30.

Abstract

The evolution of China's industrial structure from 2010 to 2021 is assessed based on the rationalization and sophistication of its industries. The Theil index quantifies spatial variability, while the Quadratic Assignment Procedure (QAP) investigates if changes in industrial structure imbalance will increase wealth disparity. The study's findings indicate a noticeable spatial imbalance in industrial structure change. The overall level of common wealth is low but steadily increasing, following a stepped-down structure of "east-center-west." Additionally, the north and south regions exhibit a pattern of "high in the north and low in the south." There is a pattern of higher values in the north and lower values in the south. In terms of common wealth and its dimensions, there is a ladder-like pattern with high values at the core decreasing towards the west. Between 2010 and 2021, the common wealth development shifted from a lower level to a higher one. Beijing, Jiangsu, and Shanghai constantly ranked in the top echelon, while Guangxi remained in the fifth echelon. The speed and difficulty of transitioning between echelons vary. Moving from the fourth echelon to the third echelon takes longer, while transitioning from the third echelon to higher echelons presents tougher challenges. Spatial imbalances in industrial structure changes widen the gap in common wealth. In particular, the impact of the gap in the advanced industrial structure on the common wealth gap is significantly higher than that of the gap in industrial rationalization. Reducing disparities in advanced industrial structure is more effective in reducing the overall wealth gap.

摘要

基于产业的合理化和高级化对2010年至2021年中国产业结构的演变进行了评估。泰尔指数量化了空间变异性,而二次指派程序(QAP)则研究产业结构失衡的变化是否会加剧财富差距。研究结果表明,产业结构变化存在明显的空间失衡。共同财富的总体水平较低,但呈稳步上升趋势,遵循“东部-中部-西部”的递减结构。此外,南北地区呈现出“北高南低”的格局。存在北部地区值较高而南部地区值较低的模式。在共同财富及其维度方面,呈现出一种阶梯状模式,核心地区值较高,向西部递减。2010年至2021年期间,共同财富发展从较低水平转向较高水平。北京、江苏和上海一直位居前列,而广西则一直处于第五梯队。各梯队之间转型的速度和难度各不相同。从第四梯队向第三梯队转型所需时间更长,而从第三梯队向更高梯队转型则面临更严峻的挑战。产业结构变化的空间失衡扩大了共同财富差距。特别是,先进产业结构差距对共同财富差距的影响明显高于产业合理化差距。缩小先进产业结构差距对缩小总体财富差距更有效。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f092/11305228/f1165839e71b/gr1.jpg

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