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中国丝绸之路经济带经济质量的空间格局及时空因素变化规律

Spatial patterns and the changing law of spatial and temporal factors in the economic quality of China's Silk Road Economic Belt.

作者信息

Ni Yuchen, Huang Zhenna, Hu Jiayu

机构信息

Faculty of Finance, City University of Macau, Macau, 999078, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Jul 14;10(14):e34409. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e34409. eCollection 2024 Jul 30.

Abstract

It is important to quantitatively assess the level of high-quality development of the Silk Road Economic Belt and the global economy. In the past, many scholars have conducted relevant studies on high-quality economic development, but little attention has been given to China's Silk Road Economic Belt, and there is a lack of dynamic quantitative research on long time series. Based on these findings, we constructed an evaluation index system for the high-quality economic development of China's Silk Road Economic Belt based on statistical data using geographic information technology such as the Moran index and econometric methods such as the entropy weight method and the Mann-Kendall test. Then, we quantitatively depicted the spatial and temporal evolution of the high-quality economic development of China's Silk Road Economic Belt from 2007 to 2021. The results of the study showed that over time, the overall level of high-quality economic development in China's Silk Road Economic Belt and the scores of all dimensions showed a significant upwards trend from 2007 to 2021. Spatially, the level of high-quality economic development in China's Silk Road Economic Belt shows a spatial distribution pattern of being lowest in the North, followed by that in the South, and that in the Centre. Furthermore, there is a clustering distribution of high-quality economic development in China's Silk Road Economic Belt, and there is a spatial spillover effect; science and technology expenditures and the total amount of imports and exports are also crucial in promoting high-quality development of the region's economy and accelerating spatial spillovers from the Silk Road Economic Belt. The results of this study can provide an important scientific basis for the high-quality and sustainable development of the Silk Road Economic Belt in China, as well as be an important reference for related studies in other similar regions in the world.

摘要

定量评估丝绸之路经济带和全球经济的高质量发展水平具有重要意义。过去,许多学者对高质量经济发展进行了相关研究,但对中国的丝绸之路经济带关注较少,且缺乏对长时间序列的动态定量研究。基于这些发现,我们利用地理信息技术(如莫兰指数)和计量经济学方法(如熵权法和曼-肯德尔检验),基于统计数据构建了中国丝绸之路经济带高质量经济发展评价指标体系。然后,我们定量描绘了2007年至2021年中国丝绸之路经济带高质量经济发展的时空演变。研究结果表明,随着时间的推移,2007年至2021年中国丝绸之路经济带高质量经济发展的总体水平及各维度得分均呈现出显著的上升趋势。在空间上,中国丝绸之路经济带高质量经济发展水平呈现出北低、南次、中高的空间分布格局。此外,中国丝绸之路经济带高质量经济发展存在集聚分布,且存在空间溢出效应;科技支出和进出口总额对促进该地区经济高质量发展和加速丝绸之路经济带的空间溢出也至关重要。本研究结果可为中国丝绸之路经济带的高质量可持续发展提供重要的科学依据,也可为世界其他类似地区的相关研究提供重要参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f55e/11304018/56e07ae68fe1/gr1.jpg

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