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中国物流演进:发展特征与经济增长的催化效应研究。

China's logistics evolution: A study of development characteristics and catalytic effects on economic growth.

机构信息

College of Economics, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.

College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Sep 9;19(9):e0309737. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309737. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

The impact of logistics development on the economy covers many aspects, such as production, cost, employment, international trade, etc. It is an indispensable part of the modern economy, which helps to improve overall economic efficiency and social prosperity. This study studies the spatiotemporal dynamic evolution characteristics of China's logistics development from 2008 to 2018 and explores its impact on economic growth in multiple dimensions of time and space. The research findings indicate the following: (1) From 2008 to 2018, China's logistics development level (LDL) exhibited a clear upward trend. The differences between the eastern, central, and western regions showed fluctuating downward patterns, ultimately converging towards a high-level concentration. Concerning spatial distribution, China's logistics development demonstrated a trend towards the west and south. However, the spatial pattern of "strong in the east and weak in the west " has existed for a long time. Moreover, the "T-shaped" pattern between coastal provinces and those along the Yangtze River Basin deepened, and the LDL in the central and western regions significantly improved. (2) The advancement of China's LDL effectively promotes its economic growth, confirming that the Belt and Road Initiative enhances the role of logistics development in driving economic growth. Regarding regional differences, logistics development positively influences economic growth in the eastern and western regions, with a less significant impact on the central region. Regarding the strength of influence, logistics development has a more substantial effect on promoting high-ranking provinces in the entire country, the eastern region, and the central region, as well as boosting economic growth in low-ranking provinces in the western region.

摘要

物流发展对经济的影响涵盖生产、成本、就业、国际贸易等多个方面。它是现代经济不可或缺的一部分,有助于提高整体经济效率和社会繁荣。本研究从 2008 年到 2018 年研究了中国物流发展的时空动态演变特征,并探讨了其在多个时间和空间维度上对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明:(1)从 2008 年到 2018 年,中国的物流发展水平(LDL)呈现出明显的上升趋势。东部、中部和西部地区之间的差异呈波动下降趋势,最终趋向于高水平集中。在空间分布方面,中国的物流发展呈现出向西和向南的趋势。然而,“东部强、西部弱”的空间格局长期存在。此外,沿海省份和长江流域省份之间的“T 型”格局加深,中西部地区的 LDL 显著提高。(2)中国 LDL 的提升有效促进了经济增长,证实了“一带一路”倡议增强了物流发展在推动经济增长方面的作用。在区域差异方面,物流发展对东部和西部地区的经济增长具有积极影响,对中部地区的影响较小。在影响力度方面,物流发展对推动全国高排名省份、东部地区和中部地区的经济增长具有更显著的作用,同时也促进了西部地区低排名省份的经济增长。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/021e/11383209/46d119491806/pone.0309737.g001.jpg

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