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基于有效时长的空调耗电量分解

Decomposition of air conditioning electricity consumption based on effective duration.

作者信息

Xun Chao, Zheng Huan, Han Zhaoyu

机构信息

State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fuzhou, China.

Economic and Technical Research Institute, State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fuzhou, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Aug 8;19(8):e0308459. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308459. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

As the share of air conditioning electricity consumption within total grid electricity consumption grows, the decomposition of such consumption becomes increasingly crucial for assessing electricity usage patterns, devising consumption scheduling strategies, and maintaining the stability of the power grid. Although there is a strong correlation between apparent temperature and air conditioning electricity consumption, the literature currently available seldom explores the impact of apparent temperature on this consumption. Moreover, there is a scarcity of effective assessment indices to evaluate the efficacy of air conditioning electricity consumption breakdown. This study introduces a method for decomposing electricity consumption from air conditioning units, utilizing effective duration as a basis to tackle these issues. By employing an apparent temperature model as a constraint, this approach identifies the effective operating time of air conditioning and constructs a constrained convex optimization problem to estimate air conditioning power usage. Additionally, a novel evaluation index for the effectiveness of air conditioning electricity consumption decomposition is proposed, which includes penalties for negative decomposed consumption, alongside the traditional consistency index. Comparative experiments are conducted using real electricity consumption data from Fujian Province. Empirical results indicate that the methodology for air conditioning electricity consumption decomposition presented in this paper aligns more closely with actual conditions. Furthermore, the evaluation metrics introduced for the decomposition of air conditioning electricity consumption are adept at precisely gauging the quality of the air conditioning electricity consumption data.

摘要

随着空调用电量在电网总用电量中所占份额的增加,对这种用电量进行分解对于评估用电模式、制定用电调度策略以及维持电网稳定性变得越来越重要。尽管体感温度与空调用电量之间存在很强的相关性,但目前的文献很少探讨体感温度对这种用电量的影响。此外,缺乏有效的评估指标来评估空调用电量分解的效果。本研究引入了一种基于有效时长来分解空调用电量的方法,以解决这些问题。通过将体感温度模型作为约束条件,该方法确定空调的有效运行时间,并构建一个约束凸优化问题来估计空调用电量。此外,还提出了一种用于评估空调用电量分解有效性的新评估指标,除了传统的一致性指标外,还包括对负分解用电量的惩罚。利用福建省的实际用电数据进行了对比实验。实证结果表明,本文提出的空调用电量分解方法与实际情况更为吻合。此外,引入的用于评估空调用电量分解的指标能够准确衡量空调用电量数据的质量。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/022e/11309502/598d35e6acfe/pone.0308459.g001.jpg

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