Seasonal and interannual variations of nutrients in the Subei Shoal and their implication for the world's largest green tide.

The world's largest "green tide" (Ulva prolifera) has occurred every year since 2007 in the Yellow Sea. The Subei Shoal area is thought to be the origin of the green tide. Based on field data from 2016 to 2023, seasonal and interannual variations of dissolved nutrients and their ecological effects in the Subei Shoal were analyzed. Spatial distribution of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP) and dissolved silicate (DSi) showed clear terrestrial sources, while ammonia (NH-N) and dissolved organic nitrogen (DON) were not solely controlled by terrestrial sources. The seasonal variations of NH-N, DIN, DON, DIP and DSi concentrations were significant, and the interannual variations of DIN, DON, DIP and DSi concentrations showed general decreasing trends from 2016 to 2023. The key factors affecting the seasonal and interannual variations of DIN and DIP concentrations were terrestrial input, aquaculture wastewater discharge, atmospheric deposition, submarine groundwater discharge and macroalgae absorption, while the dominant factor determining the variations of DSi concentrations was terrestrial input. NH-N and DON concentrations were mainly influenced by aquaculture wastewater discharge and the absorption and release of macroalgae. The high nutrient concentrations in the Subei Shoal throughout the year provided sufficient material basis for the growth of Ulva prolifera in the source area of green tide outbreak.